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Hypx_
searching Neon…
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Hypx_
5y ago
It will happen by around 2030. It might reach 100% shortly afterwards. Also, hydrogen production should increase by well over an order of magnitude in 25-30 years.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Given the rapid drop in green hydrogen costs, this argument is itself becoming outdated. We will just switch green sources of ammonia and there will be minimal if not nonexistent increases in cost.
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Hypx_
5y ago
GM proceeded to ignore everything that worked at that plant (and still does, nevermind what that article says). They flat out refused to learn from Toyota even when they saw it upfront. We live in a racist world. You either accept it or be
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Hypx_
5y ago
Not quite. The body would natural develop several types of cancer without an immune system to suppress them. People with AIDS will have short lives even without exposure to any external diseases.
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Hypx_
5y ago
I think the Detroit automakers have the same mentality. It's almost like there's this racism belief that the Japanese could never have figured something out that Westerners haven't.
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Hypx_
5y ago
That’s not actually true. Many AIDS patients will die of cancer due to a lack of immune system suppressing those common occurring cancers.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Hydrogen is going to displace batteries. The mistake is with companies who bet everything on li-ion batteries and not other ideas.
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Hypx_
5y ago
They're pushing for both really. The real mistake is to go all in on batteries without ever considering any alternatives.
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Hypx_
5y ago
There is no hard limit except 100% efficiency (sorta*). As fuel cells are a type of battery they can eventually match li-ion batteries on efficiency. Combined with their ability to capture curtail power on a very large scale and the economi
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Hypx_
5y ago
Hydrogen has already found those fundamental discoveries, and much of it is the rapid reduction in green hydrogen cost. It's really a matter of time before economics shifts the entire industry towards hydrogen over resource-intensive b
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Hypx_
5y ago
It's already starting to happen. It won't be something that happens decades in the future. The disruption of EVs by hydrogen technology is likely a current event. I think its time we start realizing that much of the "efficien
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Hypx_
5y ago
I suspect cost of streaming services will increase though. Cable didn't get as expensive as it did overnight after all.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Should be noted that that will work too. In fact that is the plan for most facilities. However, you will still need a separate electrolysis facility. With this you just pipe hydrogen into bigger pipes. It could be cheaper to implement it th
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Hypx_
5y ago
Piping gases is also a solved problem. It existed even before electricity. I sound certain because I'm certainty right. If anything it's bit amusing to see supposedly smart people have so much trouble accepting the existence of
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Hypx_
5y ago
Unless the destination of the electricity is also next to the local collection network the pipeline can be simpler. It's certainly not going to be a worse idea.
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Hypx_
5y ago
It's going to be hydrogen.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Over short distances sure, but once you're talking thousands of km a pipeline is way simpler.
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Hypx_
5y ago
For a household size connection sure, but once you're looking at extremely high voltages the electrical solution becomes hard. It's a totally different kind of cable and has very different problems to deal with. Meanwhile a pipe f
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Hypx_
5y ago
10% of a whole summer.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Toyota is not wrong at all. Hydrogen is going to be the future of personal transportation too. EVs are basically unsustainable ideas as they require so much raw materials. Not to mention that we have to have hydrogen to hit zero emissions,
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Hypx_
5y ago
Just for added advice: Toyota also makes battery powered cars alongside their hydrogen cars. Tesla however does not make hydrogen powered cars at all. So without getting into details, it's clear that Toyota knows more about how each te
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Hypx_
5y ago
We'll likely use underground hydrogen storage in the form of salt caverns and expended natural gas reservoirs.
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Hypx_
5y ago
For larger installations pipes are easier than wires.
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Hypx_
5y ago
He's a fool to not realize the threat. Tesla is almost certain to collapse unless they start making hydrogen cars themselves.
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Hypx_
5y ago
If you know the history of disruption, you'd know that very few companies survive them. "All but two" could the list of dead companies from this, not the survivors.
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Hypx_
5y ago
The typical mono-si solar panel is about 20-22% efficiency. For poly-si this drops to about 15%, but are cheaper and therefore still sees a lot of demand. Solar water-splitting at 13.8% is well in the range of feasible competitiveness as lo
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Hypx_
5y ago
Fuel cell cars are electric cars. Since hydrogen is much more plentiful than lithium, it's nearly a certainty that the vast majority of cars will eventually switch over to hydrogen.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Battery cars are being disrupted by hydrogen cars. In a decade the shift will be almost entirely towards hydrogen and BEVs will be seen as obsolete.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Wrong. Hydrogen cars are the future. It's Tesla and the rest that are going to die off by betting on the wrong horse.
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Hypx_
5y ago
Considering how much raw materials you take out of the car, this is a good idea.
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