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ElProlactin
searching Neon…
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ElProlactin
4d ago
> I only have the nagging question that if it’s so easy, why would the clients not do it by themselves? Plenty of reasons, including: 1. They don't (yet) know how to use AI to accomplish what they need. 2. The ROI is still meaningfu
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ElProlactin
4d ago
A big problem in discussions about Nvidia is that people can't distinguish between: 1. The equity investments Nvidia has made in its customers. 2. The guarantees/backstops it has extended to some of its customers. 3. Vendor financ
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ElProlactin
4d ago
> The term you're looking for is transmission channels. MB is turned into M1 through lending. M3 is turned into M1 through collateralisation and demand stimulation, among other effects. "Transmission channels" are how poli
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ElProlactin
4d ago
> It's M4. Which turns into M3 through the money markets. Which creates M1 through banks. M3 hasn't been published in the US since 2006 and M4 has never been published publicly in the US. Aggregates don't turn into one ano
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ElProlactin
4d ago
The only thing ridiculous here is thinking that the US government is in control to the level you think it is. Spending $500+ billion/year (and close to a trillion now) on defense for decades and in ~6 months it has depleted stocks of c
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ElProlactin
4d ago
> The fact that he would suggest this despite preparing for an IPO is an even stronger signal that it's in good faith -- it will almost certainly delay or reduce the valuation of the IPO. No it won't. This is a call for a "
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ElProlactin
4d ago
Being sarcastic isn't going to solve the problem but you're obviously free to believe that the US is still in a position to call all the shots when it's evident to the rest of the world this isn't the case.
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ElProlactin
4d ago
> The U.S. Government won't allow that to happen. Like the US government wouldn't allow Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz? Or a bunch of sandal-wearing Islamists to take control over the Red Sea coastline? The US government is
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ElProlactin
4d ago
If they genuinely believe the tech is dangerous, how would it be acting in "good faith" to keep developing it, prepping an IPO, etc.?
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ElProlactin
4d ago
Does this mean I'm going to have to wait for the cure for my colitis?
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ElProlactin
4d ago
> Regardless of whether you think they're right, most everyone at Anthropic is acting in good faith. The road to hell is paved with good intentions. Dario Amodei is a 40-something dude who is obviously very, very intelligent. But in
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ElProlactin
4d ago
Exactly. Low growth is a problem, but the primary reason young people feel so miserable is on the cost of living side of the equation.
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ElProlactin
4d ago
You're conflating the money multiplier and velocity. They aren't the same thing. The multiplier is about banks turning reserves into deposits via lending while "spending the same money more rapidly" is velocity. This doe
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ElProlactin
4d ago
You should educate yourself about accounting. First, under US GAAP rules (ASC 606), you cannot recognize revenue from a vendor-financed sale unless it meets certain criteria, the biggest one of which is: it has to be probable that the buyer
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ElProlactin
5d ago
> ...and they've done a pretty good job of that up until ~this year. Not really. When you look back, seeing how things turned out, history looks different than it almost certainly felt to most people at the time. It took 250-300 yea
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ElProlactin
5d ago
> It's hard to imagine coming back from this. You don't even need to try because it's not happening.
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ElProlactin
5d ago
> ...and our military forces shouldn't be using his incoherent ramblings on Twitter to make snap judgements on the battlefield without checking with their chain of command either. You mean the chain of command that has been purged o
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ElProlactin
6d ago
> ...but they are not related to any of the failures being reported on. If pilots weren't being given enough rest time, as alleged, you don't believe that might affect decision-making in the cockpit?
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ElProlactin
6d ago
Maybe those were taken out so that the plane was capable of carrying more packages.
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ElProlactin
6d ago
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/miami-plane-crash-21-air-safety... > The Amazon Prime Air Boeing 767 cargo plane that crashed off a Miami runway on Sunday, killing five people, was operated by a North Carolina company
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ElProlactin
7d ago
> ...and people would almost always deal with people rather than a robot. Here's the thing: they don't give a rat's you-know-what about what you prefer. And it's not just due to arrogance (maximizing profit) it's
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ElProlactin
7d ago
I know you're joking/being facetious but they don't even need that many electricians for the ongoing maintenance. The major electrical work is front-loaded.
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ElProlactin
7d ago
I thought Florida had been renamed Mar-a-Lago.
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ElProlactin
7d ago
And electricians!
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ElProlactin
7d ago
> Only humans can do some tasks > For instance, AI can’t bathe a patient. Until there are robots. Or the AI gets creative in an attempt to find a solution to this "problem" and orders a fatal dose of morphine for the patient
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ElProlactin
7d ago
Well, I'm a cynical nobody so my predictions aren't worth much, but I suspect we'll get the trillionaires and really dark dystopia (compared to the one we have now) for at least a short time before The End comes.
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ElProlactin
7d ago
You won't need to wear sunglasses because apparently there's a >10% chance there is no future.
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ElProlactin
8d ago
"It is perfectly obvious that the whole world is going to hell. The only possible chance that it might not is that we do not attempt to prevent it from doing so." - Oppenheimer
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ElProlactin
8d ago
I actually don't have a problem with people using AI to write but this is such a small amount of text that outsourcing it to AI screams "laziness".
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ElProlactin
8d ago
> The Early Access Network is an invite-only group of senior technology leaders who want to see what's coming before it's on anyone's shortlist. > Four times a year, we put a hand-picked group of YC's enterprise-AI
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