CountSessine

6 ms·

1.
by CountSessine 7d ago
People will buy Macs and iPhones even if they don’t have AI. In fact at this point, based on revealed market preferences, it’s almost a value add. And if the AI capitalization bubble bursts, most people would be ok with OpenAI or Anthropic
2.
by CountSessine 1y ago
Read Miran’s paper.
3.
by CountSessine 1y ago
Read the Miran paper. It’s not about imbalances. It’s about negotiating leverage. Australia in particular is going to be the most interesting case in the world. Strategically, Australia is more sympathetic to the US, but your trade with Chi
4.
by CountSessine 1y ago
Because Trump himself isn’t really that smart? Like I said, he takes the advice of the last person who talks to him. He’s very suggestible. The best parts of his presidency, so far, have been when he follows the plan in project 2025, which
5.
by CountSessine 1y ago
And yet the near-term interest is to keep buying Volkswagens from Hitler.
6.
by CountSessine 1y ago
I agree with you, but I also think you have this idea that trade is currently governed by largely linear and symmetric rules in Ricardian harmony, and that just isn’t the case. Every industrialized exporting country in the world has optimiz
7.
by CountSessine 1y ago
Give up your whole notion of “should”. There is no “should”. The formula is for aligning incentives. It’s no longer enough for other govts to claim compliance with abstract requirements while clandestinely working against them - they need t
8.
by CountSessine 1y ago
If you read Miran's paper, the point of the tariffs is to bring US trade partners to the table to negotiate the alliance, so really they could be anything at all. It could have been 420% or 31.4159% or whatever, right across the board.
9.
by CountSessine 1y ago
For the record, I'm not really sure how I feel about this plan. Free trade with China uplifted 700 million people (in China) from poverty. OTOH, if you believe that China is basically Germany circa 1938 (and indeed, China in 2025 is th
10.
by CountSessine 1y ago
I don't know about incompetent - there's plenty of smart people around Trump. The big problem seems to be that they all kind of disagree with each other and Trump ends up doing what the guy who talks to him most recently advises h
11.
by CountSessine 1y ago
Yes, this is the Triffin Trap or the Triffin Dilemma https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triffin_dilemma
12.
by CountSessine 2y ago
Just as an aside, I love the term, “made out of snail.” Is this a Swedish idiom?
13.
by CountSessine 2y ago
Maybe they’ve fixed this since then. I haven’t looked at darcs in AGES.
14.
by CountSessine 2y ago
I used Darcs a long time ago and what I remember was that because it reordered patches, it was actually quite difficult to do a bisect to find a patch that broke a build. Unlike git where you can completely characterize a build with the HEA
15.
by CountSessine 2y ago
Ah yes - the weird one was PC not zero. Anyhoo, all of these mistakes were fixed with Arm64.
16.
by CountSessine 3y ago
Sadly, no. 32-bit ARM only has 16 GPR’s (two of which are zero and link), mostly because of the stupid predication bits in the instruction encoding. That said, I don’t know how valuable getting rid of FP on ARM is - I once benchmarked ffmpe
17.
by CountSessine 3y ago
The thin end of the wedge. The epistemic supply-chain needs grooming to achieve information purity. If you support this idiocy, let me assure you that eventually it will be used against you when the Wrong sort of people are in power.
18.
by CountSessine 3y ago
.local is used by mdns so your .local machines can conflict with discoverable devices and services. I guess they wanted something that wouldn't conflict?
19.
by CountSessine 3y ago
At some point I guess Apple will have to give up the 30% and instead charge more directly for their costs associated with running the App Store, namely hosting costs (probably very small) and the cost of testing and reviews (probably larger
20.
by CountSessine 3y ago
Duverger’s Law https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duverger's_law
21.
by CountSessine 3y ago
Make larger routing tables. Brilliant! Why didn’t we think of that?!? MOARE TCAMS!!!
22.
by CountSessine 3y ago
I remember back in the 80’s when we were all witness to Japan’s economic miracle. Some said it was the tightly managed Keiretsu supply system, some said it was MITI, some said that it was Deming, or maybe it was just Japanese culture? It re
23.
by CountSessine 3y ago
I don’t think that Jewish organizations like Birthright discriminate. They want all Jews to have children. I can’t think of anything equivalent to Birthright that operates on a national level.
24.
by CountSessine 3y ago
I suspect that men are more likely to link education to income and opportunities - and the ROI for a lot of degrees has plummeted as tuition has increased. I don’t think women are as bothered by this and you can see this in the student loan
25.
by CountSessine 3y ago
Not time trend - category trend. The dataset shows that the less education you have the less likely it is you’ll be married at 40.
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by CountSessine 3y ago
Yeah the python and rust devs will be pretty crestfallen too. All that wasted effort for all of these failed projects!
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by CountSessine 3y ago
It's even worse than that because we didn't have a commerce-clause the way you do. Canada actually has trade tariffs between it's own provinces. It was only in 2017 that the provinces signed a free trade agreement with each o
28.
by CountSessine 3y ago
Every dictatorship is seething with discontent among the elites. Dictators are rarely overthrown by revolutionaries - it's more common that they're deposed by their own generals. A public failure like Taiwanese independence isn&#x
29.
by CountSessine 3y ago
The Chinese government does, at present, strongly favor the status quo. There is only one external event - an event that takes place outside of China - that can seriously disrupt the CCP's rule over China and that is Taiwan successfu
30.
by CountSessine 3y ago
I guarantee you that if they gave those antiquities back it wouldn't change a thing.

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