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BenjaminTodd
searching Neon…
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What can you do to personally prepare for AGI?
(benjamintodd.substack.com)
3 points
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BenjaminTodd
2y ago
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0 comments
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In Running Like A Startup, Nonprofits Find Success
(news.crunchbase.com)
50 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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4 comments
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No Lean Season (YC W17) raises $11.5m “philanthropic round”
6 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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2 comments
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
They look at people who switch into entrepreneurship, and then consider the whole sample, so I don't think survivorship bias is a big issue. I agree it would be good to go more fine grained in the categories though.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Yes - they try to address that in the paper, but it's hard.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
We totally agree - we go into that in the post e.g. see the conclusion section.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
We discuss this somewhat in the post - the line at which you say something "works" is arbitrary. We explore how the choice of definition changes the stat.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Some of it is that, but much less so for the meta-analyses. We have a bunch more comments about this in the doc.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Hi all, I'm the author of the post and happy to take questions.
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When taking a harmful job might be justified: an in-depth analysis
(80000hours.org)
2 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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1 comments
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Which professions are paid too much given their value to society?
(80000hours.org)
21 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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38 comments
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How can founders improve their social skills?
(hackernoon.com)
3 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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0 comments
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
We think even if AGI is only invented in 50 years, then it's still worth doing some work on the control problem today, so our view isn't that dependent on whether we're currently in an AI investment bubble or not. However, if
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
We're going to work on the causes that we think our most pressing, so to be consistent, we're going to end up recommending the same things we work on. At 80,000 Hours, our focus is also not on giving money. We're trying to he
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
There's also real research progress being made. Here are some of the issues people are working on: https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.06565
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
More info on the pros and cons of water: http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/publication/post-2015-con... http://blog.givewell.org/2016/05/03/reservations-water-quali...
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
We're a fan of CCC - they're one of the main resources we've drawn upon, and we agree with many of these recommendations under the heading of global health. However, they focus on what will most help the global poor in the ne
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Yes, though unfortunately he didn't write up his reasoning.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
This is taken into account in the figures, which are purchasing parity adjusted. You can see more detail in the footnotes. There also more in-depth discussion here: https://80000hours.org/2017/04/how-accurately-doe
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Hi, I'm the author of the post. I agree this is a very interesting area to look into. It would fall under "meta" in the main post. Here's some more info: http://blog.givewell.org/2015/04/21/
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The world’s biggest problems and why they’re not what first comes to mind
(80000hours.org)
103 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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122 comments
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How can founders learn social skills?
(medium.com)
2 points
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Our estimate of the mean is still 400-900k, whereas the mean in sports/arts/entertainment is only about $70k. https://80000hours.org/articles/highest-paying-jobs/ Even the junior roles in trading are h
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
It seems difficult because the roles exist on a spectrum. I'd be interested in how to make the titles and claims more precise.
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Thank you for the interesting estimates!
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Thanks for the extra data point. I totally agree you can't easily use these figures as your expected earnings, since you need to adjust for the chance of drop out. (And also future industry prospects and many other factors.) Also agree
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
By "portfolio manager" I (the author) just mean the more senior person who oversees trading. It seems like a couple of different titles get used. We don't mean portfolio management in the sense of advising individuals on wh
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
Read the rest of the guide :) https://80000hours.org/career-guide/
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
That's what always happens. People who like upvote and move on (or do nothing). People who are critical comment. It's really hard to do a voting ring on HN. The algorithm is very sensitive. We've triggered it accidentally bef
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BenjaminTodd
9y ago
There is a chicken and egg problem - if you don't have the motivation to apply motivation techniques, then it's hard to get started. One of former staff members got out of this rut by using commitment techniques. https:/
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