4 ms·
Why would that be probable? People on average are fantastically bad at getting probabilities right.
by jstummbillig 12d ago
Why would that be probable? People on average are fantastically bad at getting probabilities right.
- esseph 12d agoHistorical precedent repeated over and over, and the US ties to DoW work, and the national security implications. It's actually the Occam's Razor explanation if you know the history.
- jstummbillig 11d agoOnly if you ignore baseline rates. Which brings us back to my original point.
- esseph 10d ago4 major AI services all had outages around the same time. Gemini, too. https://arstechnica.com/ai/2026/09/four-major-ai-models-suffer-rare-overlapping-downtime/ https://arstechnica.com/ai/2026/09/four-major-ai-models-suff...