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The fact that you know Ed Zitron's name means that, regardless of his predictions being consistently wrong (which they are), his strategy for manipulating human
by pembrook 15d ago
The fact that you know Ed Zitron's name means that, regardless of his predictions being consistently wrong (which they are), his strategy for manipulating human attention has been correct.
The question is whether he sincerely believes his own predictions or if he cynically is aware that you can create a career for yourself being a guy who says bombastic clickbait-worthy things people emotionally want to be true, instead of measured assessments of reality.
Problem is, you wouldn't know Ed Zitron's name if every piece he wrote basically said "AI might be a bit overhyped short term but will have lasting economic impacts." Booooorrrring.
The reverse is also true. OpenAI and Anthropic aren't going to get much media attention if they don't make silly claims like "all white collar jobs gone in 2 years."
And no, this isn't a new problem due to "the algorithm." Media has always been like this. Zitron is just another Peter Schiff with younger skin. The problem is human nature in general.
Hence why AI isn't going to kill media. We don't actually want sober, rational assessments of all available information from hyper-intelligent LLMs. This is unsatisfying. We want emotional validation, drama, adversarial identity and spectacle. Truth is rarely what we are seeking.
- tptacek 15d agoI don't care whether he believes his own predictions, only that they're so frequently incoherent and false.
- mbesto 15d ago> his strategy for manipulating human attention has been correct. "Correct" is not the word you're looking for here. More like "very effective". His strategy for manipulating human attention is very effective, but the correctness of his strategy isn't relevant here, so I'm not sure why you're bringing that up.
- pembrook 15d agoBecause a sincere discussion of media (a fundamentally insincere medium with perverse incentives) is silly without addressing this. Autistically pretending the world is rational and not factoring this in is just as false as Zitron’s predictions.
- drdeca 15d agoNothing in acknowledging those perverse incentives requires that one misleadingly use the word “correct” in place of “effective”.
- pembrook 15d agoThis is the most bizarre and trivial line of argument I’ve ever seen on HN. Swapping those words changes nothing about that sentence.
- MarkusQ 9d agoThey aren't synonyms and are, in general, not interchangeable. If I'm trying to get out of an unpleasant task by intentionally failing an aptitude test, the "correct" answer is going to be the least effective. Likewise if I'm crafting a click-bait headline or trying to make use of Cunningham's Law or... well, I hope you get the point.