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Most likely it'll bifurcate. The US will be (is) forced to work with everyone not named China or Russia, to ensure it can compete with China's concentrated ind
by adventured 23d ago
Most likely it'll bifurcate.
The US will be (is) forced to work with everyone not named China or Russia, to ensure it can compete with China's concentrated industrial might. That means making iPhones in India, or Mexico, or Vietnam. That means Micron building more RAM production domestically. It should mean helping ASML stay out in front of China's incoming silicon wave. And so on.
It'll be China + allies vs the US + allies. It's going to be intense and very expensive. A huge amount of global manufacturing has to be built up outside of China.
And China does indeed have enormous problems brewing, including a staggering 5x increase in homelessness in just roughly seven years (to go with its collapsed housing market):
https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2026/01/14/beijing-based-analysts-suggest-chinas-homeless-population-may-have-surged-more-than-fivefold-since-2020/8521768374259/ https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2026/01/14/beijing-b...
Over the next 20-30 years robotics + AI will brutalize countries with very large populations when it comes to employment, especially those that depend on volume manufacturing heavily to absorb labor. The US for its part should be focused on rapidly shrinking its population, pushing up-skill, restricting immigration based on points (ala Canada et al.), and focusing entirely on quality of life / standard of living per capita as the population declines (let it happen rather than fighting the big trend, boost GDP per capita via robotics + AI, higher productivity).
I'd want to be a small, decently well educated, high functioning nation, with powerful military friends, and far from China. Estonia perhaps (Russia poses no serious terminal threat to them so long as NATO exists or a European alternative). Poland has some cultural mojo right now as well, they could be interesting over the next few decades.
- MetaWhirledPeas 22d ago> robotics + AI will brutalize countries with very large populations > The US for its part should be focused on rapidly shrinking its population Interesting to hear a new take. Not what you commonly hear. Most focus on the damage caused by a shrinking and aging population. What's your opinion on that situation? I would think the trick will be the figure out how robotics + AI will enable a new level of elder care, but it's hard to imagine robots being delicate and nuanced enough to do that kind of work.