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You can always tell an effective altruist by the distinct tone of disdain they have for people they deem less educated. (Quick Google search, "lesswrong 'reduce

You can always tell an effective altruist by the distinct tone of disdain they have for people they deem less educated. (Quick Google search, "lesswrong 'reducesuffering'", yep.) As if to say, look at all these animals with these instinctual reactions to a thing that only my group understands and comprehends. You have zero evidence of what the future might entail as it relates to the dangers of ai. Zero. Forgive the rest of us unwashed for not trusting the whims of the anxious. > climate change which is less severe Is really the icing on the cake. Demonstrative of how incorrect your priorities are.

reducesuffering 2mo ago
I hold no disdain. I am frustrated that people like you further risk the lives of everyone around us. 1,000+ frontier employees think we're in danger. Amodei gives 25% chance things go really really bad, Geoff Hinton 50%, Yoshua Bengio 20%. Altman himself said "Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity." These are the people closest to the science, working on it everyday. The LessWrong types created RLHF, were crucial to the forming of DeepMind and OpenAI. They've been prescient about the capabilities progress for a decade now, prediction after prediction coming to fruition. Still you think there's no evidence https://www.pacingthefrontier.com/ https://www.pacingthefrontier.com/
- potsandpans 2mo ago
  I work with these people every day. They are brilliant for sure, in their domain. But their confidence over extends into areas where they are totally ignorant. So much so that it makes them look ridiculous and foolish to anyone else. You're frustrated because you think you understand a thing that you have only a tenuous grasp on, from the deep expertise of a single area that is not transferable to whole of the problem. You then transfer that frustration on to "people like me" whom you seem to think are doing something bad. But really, the commentary is that the claims you put forward are insubstantial and lack credibility. The sum total of what you've put forward here and in other threads amount to arguments of authority based on the musings of a handful of capitalists. Then cite a body of thoughts from a group of transhumanists who think they are smart enough to reinvent areas philosophy without engaging in the body of work that predates the movement by 2000+ years. Folks who have been involved with lesswrong have made good advancements in the domain of machine learning, and that's where it stops. They're not some collection of prescient macroeconomic and geopolitical savants. They're also wrong about as much as they are right (cryonics), and produce plenty of whiffs (sbf, zizians). You're suggesting that we listen to a broken clock because it's been right once. Your dismissal of climate (read: climate breakdown) as "something less severe" is truly demonstrative of the cognitive bias that rips through these groups. You're so frustrated that people like me won't listen to the "experts" in one breath, and in the next diminish the 50 years of actual Hard Science that we have that shows how severe the future of climate breakdown will be. Go read the latest ipcc report, the most conservative scientific organization on earth is sounding the alarm bells. Now we get back to this openai incident. We're watching Edison electrocute Topsy on Coney Island. There's a group of people saying, "this is obviously a publicity stunt". And there's a group of people saying, "the elephant is actually dying obviously it's real." The fact of the matter is that, yes electricity is powerful, but Edison is electrocuting the elephant. At that moment, there is no body of evidence that shows with any certainty how electricity is going impact society. And there's certainly no compelling arguments that only Edison should be able to decide how to use it. He's electrocuting a fucking elephant.

reducesuffering 2mo ago

I hold no disdain. I am frustrated that people like you further risk the lives of everyone around us. 1,000+ frontier employees think we're in danger. Amodei gives 25% chance things go really really bad, Geoff Hinton 50%, Yoshua Bengio 20%. Altman himself said "Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity." These are the people closest to the science, working on it everyday. The LessWrong types created RLHF, were crucial to the forming of DeepMind and OpenAI. They've been prescient about the capabilities progress for a decade now, prediction after prediction coming to fruition. Still you think there's no evidence https://www.pacingthefrontier.com/ https://www.pacingthefrontier.com/

potsandpans 2mo ago
I work with these people every day. They are brilliant for sure, in their domain. But their confidence over extends into areas where they are totally ignorant. So much so that it makes them look ridiculous and foolish to anyone else. You're frustrated because you think you understand a thing that you have only a tenuous grasp on, from the deep expertise of a single area that is not transferable to whole of the problem. You then transfer that frustration on to "people like me" whom you seem to think are doing something bad. But really, the commentary is that the claims you put forward are insubstantial and lack credibility. The sum total of what you've put forward here and in other threads amount to arguments of authority based on the musings of a handful of capitalists. Then cite a body of thoughts from a group of transhumanists who think they are smart enough to reinvent areas philosophy without engaging in the body of work that predates the movement by 2000+ years. Folks who have been involved with lesswrong have made good advancements in the domain of machine learning, and that's where it stops. They're not some collection of prescient macroeconomic and geopolitical savants. They're also wrong about as much as they are right (cryonics), and produce plenty of whiffs (sbf, zizians). You're suggesting that we listen to a broken clock because it's been right once. Your dismissal of climate (read: climate breakdown) as "something less severe" is truly demonstrative of the cognitive bias that rips through these groups. You're so frustrated that people like me won't listen to the "experts" in one breath, and in the next diminish the 50 years of actual Hard Science that we have that shows how severe the future of climate breakdown will be. Go read the latest ipcc report, the most conservative scientific organization on earth is sounding the alarm bells. Now we get back to this openai incident. We're watching Edison electrocute Topsy on Coney Island. There's a group of people saying, "this is obviously a publicity stunt". And there's a group of people saying, "the elephant is actually dying obviously it's real." The fact of the matter is that, yes electricity is powerful, but Edison is electrocuting the elephant. At that moment, there is no body of evidence that shows with any certainty how electricity is going impact society. And there's certainly no compelling arguments that only Edison should be able to decide how to use it. He's electrocuting a fucking elephant.