7 ms·

I’ll go on record and say that AGI will never happen (in the next 50 years). I think that’s also the timeline for white-collar job automation that requires crit

by solumos 3mo ago

I’ll go on record and say that AGI will never happen (in the next 50 years). I think that’s also the timeline for white-collar job automation that requires critical thinking.

bryanlarsen 3mo ago
The article is about goal post moving. Please provide a clear and concrete definition of AGI that we can judge your prediction by.
- solumos 3mo ago
  Google's definition is sufficient[0]. I'd also go so far as to say that LLMs aren't even AI, but that can be a bit pedantic. I align with Richard Sutton's reasoning, in that LLMs (and GPT models more generally) aren't "intelligent" in the same way that RL models are[1]. [0] - https://cloud.google.com/discover/what-is-artificial-general-intelligence https://cloud.google.com/discover/what-is-artificial-general... [1] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=21EYKqUsPfg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=21EYKqUsPfg
  - anuramat 3mo ago
    how is GPT more general than LLM? also it's not really "LLM vs RL", they're kinda orthogonal
    - solumos 2mo ago
      Small-language models also use GPT. And I agree it's not "LLM vs RL" and that they're orthogonal, however, RL has features that more clearly resemble intelligence.