7 ms·
(they are all wrong) A fun property of S-curves is that they look exactly like exponential curves until the midpoint. Projecting exponentials is definitionally
by zesterer 8mo ago
(they are all wrong)
A fun property of S-curves is that they look exactly like exponential curves until the midpoint. Projecting exponentials is definitionally absurd because exponential growth is impossible in the long term. It is far more important to study the carrying capacity limits that curtail exponential growth.
- reducesuffering 8mo agoCovid was also an S curve...
- crthpl 8mo ago1. you can definitely tell apart an S-curve and an exponential if you look at the derivative(s). AI progress does not seem to be close to the middle of the S-curve. 2. e.g.: a slowdown hasn't shown up in moore's law yet.