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No shot. The economy is already in the gutter. The productivity hit of a total internet cutoff would be a death sentence
by jobgh 8mo ago
No shot. The economy is already in the gutter. The productivity hit of a total internet cutoff would be a death sentence
- bpodgursky 8mo agoNorth Korea unfortunately has given them a path forward. If you're willing to murder your own citizens en masse, you can get away with about anything.
- _wire_ 8mo agoYes, just start small
- reeredfdfdf 8mo agoNorth Korea has nukes though. Iran doesn't, and probably never will.
- bpodgursky 8mo agoIran has 90 million people and a giant conventional missile arsenal that deter neighbors from allowing military action against it. Invading Iran would be enormously difficult. It will also probably get nukes sooner or later. But it doesn't need nukes to be nearly untouchable.
- reeredfdfdf 8mo agoConsidering America and Israel accomplished total air superiority over Iran in matter of days just few months ago, they're obviously pretty damn far from being untouchable. Invading Iran would be difficult, but totally destroying IRGC and military (as long as they side with the former) wouldn't be that hard. Dropping communications equipment and weapons to Iranian opposition groups wouldn't be hard either.
- bpodgursky 8mo agoYes, but what was accomplished with the air superiority? It's not regime change. It set back the nuclear program, maybe six months. That probably won't work ad infinitum, at some point they are going to build redundant sites and hardened facilities that are resilient to bunker busters. The IRGC and military are HUGE. This is a numbers thing, not a competence thing. Neither the US or Israel has the munitions to make a lasting dent with air power alone.
- dpe82 8mo agoThat assumes the regime cares more about the economic prosperity of their people than about staying in power. So far they seem to care more about power. North Korea provides a model for how terrible the situation can get for every day people in that sort of arrangement.
- halestock 8mo agoYou can only let that go so far, because at the end of the day you need to pay the military to keep you in power.
- tdeck 8mo agoSome level of eonomic prosperity is necessary to keep the government's key supporters (e.g. the ruling class and the army) satisfied.
- Imustaskforhelp 8mo agoTheir economic prosperity is more linked to Oil than Internet. Plus, the elites economic prosperity is also linked to their not being protests and for the toppling of govt to not occur and they might be willing to offset some losses to keep the average population in check Which sucks for the average iranian but we saw how their protests were cracked down with 20-30 THOUSAND people killed and Iran hiding bodies etc. I have heard that all shops are either shut down or running at the most minimum capacity. Economic prosperity just isn't a question now in Iran.
- dyauspitr 8mo agoI don’t think a lot of their economy depends on the internet. Even rich countries in the Middle East would continue to sell oil if the internet wasn’t functional. Might cause some logistical issues but nothing that can’t be done over the phone.
- heraldgeezer 8mo agoNo that is american propaganda. Glorious islamist economy is great! Look at ICE shootings instead.
- bluescrn 8mo agoAnd if you disagree you're a russian bot. But there wouldn't possibly be any middle-eastern bots spreading propaganda...
- duxup 8mo agoIs the Iranian economy tied to individuals having internet access to the rest of the world much?