7 ms·

> Criminal Justice Reform --> Surge in crime That's a big assumption considering crime rates are already at lows

• nonethewiser 10mo ago
  >In my neighborhood (a Criminal Justice Reform Zone), the catch and release of repeat criminals caused a surge in break ins.
  • kevinh 10mo ago
    But suddenly adding cameras that resulted in catching more people fixed the issue? Surely if the catch and release was the issue, that wouldn't make a difference.
  • anigbrowl 10mo ago
    That doesn't validate the causal claim quoted above.
• ahmeneeroe-v2 10mo ago
  [flagged]
  • Spivak 10mo ago
    Of course, you should instead believe your own anecdotal evidence that marks a tally every time you hear about a crime, which if you watch local news is always, but doesn't mark a tally every time there isn't a crime. Fun fact that's totally not related, did you know that people who listen to true crime podcasts are more likely to believe a crime could happen to their families and are also more likely to install higher levels of security on their house?
    • ahmeneeroe-v2 10mo ago
      The fact that humans are bad at tracking stats does not necessarily mean that statistics are a more accurate "map" of reality than human intuition. (edited for clarity)