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Posted on the other thread as I thought it was pretty interesting: >Roughly 0.5% odds on him on polymarket before he was announced
by HughParry 1y ago
Posted on the other thread as I thought it was pretty interesting:
>Roughly 0.5% odds on him on polymarket before he was announced
- alexchamberlain 1y agoI don't understand what people were basing that on; the conclave is a completely secret process?
- RandomBacon 1y agoThe winning lottery numbers are a secret too before they're drawn; people just like to gamble.
- gkoberger 1y agoEDIT: I was wrong, he was quite down the list! He only appears in the chart because he ultimately won, so higher contenders dropped off. -- He seemed to hover around 1%, which was the second highest behind Tagle (~20%) https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-pope?tid=1746726197086 https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-pope?tid=1...
- fasthands9 1y agoThat link isn't showing most of the options. I believe there were at least 10 above him. Just individually look at the lines for Zuppi, Pizzaballa, Sarah, etc.