6 ms·
Unclear, but the predictions appear to be better on things like US elections than prediction markets or 538: https://firstsigma.substack.com/p/midterm-elections
by avionical 3y ago
Unclear, but the predictions appear to be better on things like US elections than prediction markets or 538: https://firstsigma.substack.com/p/midterm-elections-forecast-comparison-analysis https://firstsigma.substack.com/p/midterm-elections-forecast...