4 ms·
It's not going to happen, the production costs alone don't permit that.
by dispat0r 4y ago
It's not going to happen, the production costs alone don't permit that.
- anovikov 4y agoMain cost driver is the price of green hydrogen. It is already cheaper than the natural gas prices we are paying now (equivalent of about $1700 per 1000cm of natural gas equivalent vs about $2500 we pay), by 2030 it should be down to $500 per 1000cm natural gas equivalent and that's about 2019 price.
- ben_w 4y agoProduction costs are easily low enough to go further and faster than that. Logistics and economics may slow things down, but it’s not a cost problem right now.
- anovikov 4y agoYes and no. For raw energy production, it is dirt cheap. Storage and transformation is a bitch though, and so far costs are quite high there although they are getting better. Given that we will need to increase green hydrogen production by 400x in 9 years and further 4x in next 20 years, prices will of course drop.
- ben_w 4y agoHydrogen is the easy one. If you want battery storage I agree we need to get it cheaper (the effective cost of battery storage was close to nuclear last I checked, which isn't cheap enough, though my numbers may be out of date), but hydrogen is something I first made when I was single-digit years old.