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17 ms
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211.
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api
2mo ago
I expect China to eventually develop or sidestep EUV lithography. When that happens it’s over. It will also crash the price of chips globally. These high prices are kind of artificially buoyed by the fact that China can’t obtain ASML machin
212.
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api
2mo ago
As with many conflicts this one goes back a long way. Ukraine gave up its nukes to Russia in exchange for a non aggression pact that the invasion broke. Also bad for the world. The lesson, as with Iran and Iraq, is: you’d better have nukes
213.
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api
2mo ago
I’d also say that we do not know for certain that no dinosaurs, such as raptors perhaps, were intelligent enough for language and culture. At that age we can be pretty sure they did not have industry but they could have been like tribal hun
214.
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api
2mo ago
This is a good thought experiment to show how time is as vast as space. 400 million years ago is as distant as the stars. The Earth was a different planet then, in a sense. It’s also yet another Fermi paradox answer. Even if our civilizatio
215.
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api
2mo ago
Steel man counter-argument: health care is weird and different and special in lots of ways. The people who need it most are often the least profitable to treat and the least able to pay for it. That's because being sick negatively impa
216.
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api
2mo ago
That's what I meant. It's over-regulated and sclerotic, criticisms often levied at socialized medicine, but is also unequal, expensive, and excludes many people. So it's like everything that sucks about socialized medicine wi
217.
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api
2mo ago
I once heard Hollywood described as a network of law firms that happens to make movies. It's the most litigious industry on Earth, or one of them. They don't just sue you and I. They sue each other constantly, battling over royalt
218.
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api
2mo ago
US healthcare is very strange in that on one hand it pinches pennies and is incentivized to not fund treatment, but on the other hand there seems to be some kind of internal incentivize to spend liberally and do everything. The whole system
219.
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api
2mo ago
We have socialism for the rich, so why not for the poor? Edit: wanted to make this a little less low-effort so here's how I see us having socialism for the rich: Taxpayer-funded research being transferred directly to private companies,
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api
2mo ago
“Pajama Nazis vs Basement Bolsheviks.” Forget where I saw that one but it’s Reddit now.
221.
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api
2mo ago
I'd say rationalism and technofeudalism/neoreaction are adjacent more than directly linked. They seemed to develop in parallel around the same time and involved regulars on some of the same boards.
222.
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api
2mo ago
... and they're at least releasing the results.
223.
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api
2mo ago
This is part of why I can't feel bad for them. The training data is mostly pirated. Whining about Chinese labs training off American frontier models is "waaah you pirated my pirated stuff!" The tech itself is amazing and fasc
224.
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api
2mo ago
The biggest exception is cloud. Big cloud carries an insane markup (bandwidth is like 10000X!) and everyone runs on it. The strategy there is false openness where deployment complexity is the real proprietary moat. Sure Linux, Docker, Kuber
225.
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api
2mo ago
Doesn’t matter for training or most AI use cases. We are talking tens of ms latency here. I’m gonna guess availability of employees may matter more.
226.
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api
2mo ago
Are you sure that works against the mythology of America? Questioning authority and mythology is very American.
227.
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api
2mo ago
The problem is that this kind of low-tier media slop work is what a lot of artists, writers, etc. do as "potboiler" work. It's what pays the bills. Historically art of any kind is a U-shaped market: there is low-end work and
228.
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api
2mo ago
Lots of devs know how to code in it, and the AI models have more training in JavaScript than any other language. It's like asking "why does everything run on Windows?" Because everything runs on Windows.
229.
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api
2mo ago
Anyone else think the AI environmental backlash is astroturfed? I keep looking at the numbers. The power use numbers are not that problematic. Ordering a burrito on DoorDash uses more power than a few days of heavy AI use. The water argumen
230.
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api
2mo ago
The dumb efforts by the US AI industry to use fear mongering for regulatory capture will hand dominance to China and others. In a few years there will be Mythos level open weight models hosted by the lowest bidder anyway.
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api
2mo ago
This is a weak argument. Genetic engineering and artificial repair of major genetic disorders and artificial ways to boost genetic diversity are all way way easier than building a starship.
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api
2mo ago
In Gibson’s Neuromancer AIs burned onto chips were literally discussed and called “ROM constructs.” In that case some of them were images of human minds but with no persistent state or memory. So basically a static model version of consciou
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api
2mo ago
That project was cancelled. This is mostly about workplace surveillance. Most of the replies are large pop subReddit level junk.
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api
2mo ago
“AI” in title gets clicks. So “AI” must be in title.
235.
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api
2mo ago
Every time “relentless push for efficiency destroying X” comes up I should repost this: https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2022/11/06/strong-Goodhart.... This is a well understood phenomenon.
236.
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api
2mo ago
I had a thought a while back: sell large local models burned onto fused compute / ROM chips. Like cartridges for old game consoles. Slot (or probably plug into USB-C) and go. It’s an ASIC with the model wired into it so it’s very low p
237.
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api
2mo ago
Mobile maintains good battery life mostly by being idle almost all the time, and P2P can’t work that way. Even P2P with central server assist is hard on mobile. It could if we’d never broken the full end to end principle and put stateful fi
238.
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api
2mo ago
I need to qualify my "I don't care if there are quadrillionaires" comment. In theory, all other things aside, it is true. I mean, look up at the stars. For all I know there are functionally immortal super-minds out there who
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api
2mo ago
For the people I know, the biggest things are: (1) Addiction engineering, and the fact that the tech industry found a way to transform what was supposed to be a machine to improve human education and cognition into a digital version of toba
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api
2mo ago
Mobile is the UI/UX equivalent of… I don’t even know… a moon landing? A wonder of the world? I’m not saying it can’t be duplicated. I’m saying if you want to build a mobile platform you need to approach it with appropriate respect for
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