blockcipher

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301.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Worsening acne vulgaris Worsening rosacea Difficulty communicating with the hard of hearing, language learners, etc Reduced ability to convey info via facial expressions Altered risk appraisal Having to stand closer or speak louder to convo
302.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Literally wrote one of the most famous evidence-based papers in the world about why most interventions don’t work. But Gibbon1 said he’s not a credible source because he doesn’t like his conclusions even though he works with the WHO to publ
303.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
I think a review of the relevant literature shows that it quite obviously is, but I’m about to go to sleep and don’t want to fight that battle thus why I’m trying to direct your attention to the actual point. So let’s try again: If you take
304.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
To be clear, I agree. I think the whole concept of source control is silly. Actually I’ll go one step further and say I think the whole concept of trying to artificially slow transmission of SARS-2 in the general population is a bad idea pe
305.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Right but imagine the same study but performed on 1 billion people for a much less lethal virus. That’s what we’re doing with this mass global vaccination campaign. So yes, that is my concern. But I mainly mention it because it’s a handy co
306.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Wow, what an intellectually dishonest description of your citation. It’s looking at interventions to promote condom usage , not condom usage . Forgive my tone but...just wow.
307.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
It’s unfalsifiable because it requires studying a whole community and sequencing every SARS-2 infection to attribute “blame” to the source of the infection. That is very difficult to do and that is why such an RCT does not exist. And yet mo
308.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/m20-6817 - Only community RCT of masking for SARS-2 ever performed. Failed to reach significance, bounds are from (in plain english) “slight-moderate worsening” to “moderate
309.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
I live in California. I see maybe 95% cloth masks in public.
310.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
There is no RCT that shows cloth masks work any better than no mask. You’re relying on mechanistic studies at best (or crappy associative studies). Masks incur costs; at a minimum you must admit they alter risk appraisal if nothing else. An
311.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
> If that is true, what is remarkable is the low death rate. Not sure what the implied IFR of your scenario is, but FWIW John Ioannidis has the global IFR at .15%. Furthermore SARS-2 is so incredibly age stratified wrt risk (something we
312.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Thanks. That was my thinking but glad to see it confirmed. Kind of ironic that you’re not allowed to wear an N95 with an exhale valve, but are encouraged to wear a surgical mask, bandana, cloth mask, or dirty T-shirt, none of which provide
313.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
The only RCT ever performed for self infection of SARS-2 in the community failed to reach significance. No RCT of community masking for SARS-2 transmission has ever been done, probably because it’s unfeasible (translation: we’ve constructed
314.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
I would love for N95 usage to become more widespread, but that is hampered by the dogmatic clinging to the belief that cloth masks actually work, unfortunately. Do N95s work for source control though? They certainly do work for self infecti
315.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Face masks couldn’t be doing that because they don’t work to slow transmission whatsoever. The whole theory of face masks - even before accounting for real world usage - rests on the assumption that the primary transmission mode is respirat
316.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
This might be obvious to most, but at first it wasn't clear to me why in 150 billion years the vast majority of the known universe will be unreachable. The answer is in the acceleration of expansion (which the blogpost mentioned but
317.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Wait, you mean the gang of armed thugs that extort money from people at the point of a gun, throwing them in a tiny rape cage if they disobey, and will abduct their own citizens to dose then with megadoses of psychedelics for weeks straight
318.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
I'm opposed to laws supporting unions in general. If workers want to voluntarily get together and agree to bargain collectively, that's great. That's really just individuals engaging in voluntary contracts. The issue is the w
319.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Thanks for the link. (As an aside, the usage of the phrase "COVID-19 virus" in the paper really triggers me :P) Not sure if you were just sharing information or if there was an implication that it's at odds with what I said,
320.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
> What exactly would you consider a non-mild respiratory virus? SARS-1 is an example of a non-mild respiratory virus. We don't know quite as much about it since it never became a massive global phenomenon the way SARS-2 did, but the
321.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Basically any viral infection bears the risk of extended symptoms of fatigue/malaise - see the whole ME/CFS literature (note: there's considerable controversy as to whether it's "real" or not - I don't tak
322.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
One of the most unfortunate aspects of containment-type policies (or the type of mitigation-but-with-all-the-downsides-of-containment like in my state of California), is that they put people into a physiological (and psychological) state wh
323.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Okay, I had PCR and serology confirmed SARS-2 that was completely asymptomatic. I'm in my late 20's. Numbers vary but most studies have the rate of asymptomaticity quite high. I've seen anything from 10% to 60%. And then you
324.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
> It is quite a neat way of using a blockchain to do something slightly more useful than the usual gambling. It's still gambling though. This is nonsense. It's just another form of hysterical speculation. The key to speculation
325.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
SARS-2 was always destined to become yet another endemic seasonal respiratory virus, just to be clear. Also, it basically is a cold virus already. For the majority of the population it’s a mild respiratory virus. For the very elderly it
326.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Vaguely related, one of my biggest tax pet peeves (beyond people that don't understand marginal tax brackets at all) is the people who will cynically claim that a billionaire just donated to charity $X because they actually make more m
327.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
This comment got me laughing really hard, but since this is HN I'm going to try to figure out the answer anyway: I think this scenario is pretty simple and is essentially just that you deduct the amount of money stolen from you from th
328.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
Yeah it's a very transparent way to have an excuse to throw someone in jail. In a past life I had some illegal income that I briefly considered reporting. Paying taxes on money is way cheaper than laundering it anyway (which I was neve
329.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
I've never understood how people view paying high taxes as a point of pride. Pay your taxes so violent men with guns don't throw you in a cage, sure. But to view it as a badge of honor when that money is half getting totally waste
330.
by __blockcipher__ 5y ago
You changed the goalposts. We're not discussing whether it's moral or not. We're discussing Stallman's comment that the interaction between Minksy and the girl was plausibly not sexual assault - specifically whether his

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