I realized Microsoft was dead in early January 2007 when it occured to me that vista was about to come out and I didn't see anyone who really cared. Of course

I realized Microsoft was dead in early January 2007 when it occured to me that vista was about to come out and I didn't see anyone who really cared. Of course now that Vista has failed to garner any real attention, this view is confirmed. Further, I think that even on the desktop things are going to change and fast. I don't think people realize just how well Apple is doing. Their Mac sales are up something like %50, but they havent' really experienced network effects yet... as MS fails to come up with anything inspiring, PC owners are going to try switching in larger and larger numbers. We aren't yet seeing the watershet that this is yet-- but the Mac has moved from the margins to a viable maisntream possibility.... and as PCs bought between 2004-2006 come up for replacement, a huge number of those machines will be replaced with Macs. It was only in 2006 that people outside the software and web industry really started to see the Mac as a viable alternative. Personally, I am starting to feel a bit odd, since suddenly there are all these new Mac users. When the Mac becomes mainstream, I'll lose the comfortable non-conformity I've enjoyed since 1988.