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Seems pretty clear to me, it doesn't claim to be an article for the non mathematically inclined. Not that "pop" articles on this subject wouldn't be pretty cool

• hughprime 17y ago
  Well, I'm pretty mathematically inclined, but ignorant of Bayesian statistics, and I still didn't really get it. Frinstance the first full-length paragraph: The full Bayesian probability model includes the unobserved parameters. The marginal distribution over parameters is known as the “prior” parameter distribution, as it may be computed without reference to observable data. The conditional distribution over parameters given observed data is known as the “posterior” parameter distribution. uses too much jargon; I'm sure I'd understand it if he'd defined "marginal distribution" and "conditional distribution" and clarified exactly what the difference between observable and unobservable data and/or parameters is. The hypothetical audience for this seems to be people who are intimately familiar with statistical terminology but know absolutely nothing about Bayesian statistics.
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  • jibiki 17y ago
    I think those concepts are best understood by example.
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