6 ms·
Almost by definition, if it were a black swan, you couldn't hit 5/40 no matter how good or lucky you were.
by jdh 12y ago
Almost by definition, if it were a black swan, you couldn't hit 5/40 no matter how good or lucky you were.
- jmtame 12y agoI think that would make Sam Altman a really good seed investor. If you're looking at the odds of a startup succeeding big in general, it's way lower than 5/40.