7 ms·
Yes. The problems absolutely illustrate the concept if you have a reliable overconfidence confidence bias. You do not need a background in psychology to under
by dthunt 12y ago
Yes.
The problems absolutely illustrate the concept if you have a reliable overconfidence confidence bias. You do not need a background in psychology to understand "Hey, I feel 90% confidence, but am being surprised nearly 1 in 3 times. There's some kind of miscalibration going on there."