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Aviation is stuck in the 60s – a reflection on MH 370
- paul_f 13y agoI cannot believe I am doing this, but .... how about a few paragraph breaks once in a while?
- KaiserPro 13y agoIt may be stuck in the 60's but HF radios work sure you can create an automated dispatch system on an iPad. How do you authenticate it? how do you tell if its not working? does it fail safe? Making safe software is hard, and well beyond the wit of your standard programmer. After all, can you gaurentee your software when the CPU is at 100%? can you say with certainty what happens when your CPU is hammered by all the interrupts at the same time? Everything in the whole stack has to be verified. Thats means no virutalisation, no ruby, no perl, no python no ethernet. You can have firewire 400 though. One can almost guarantee that this plane crash did not crash because of a failure in ATC<->Pilot communication.
- andor 13y agoTrue. You can't argue about the lack of GPS trackers, though. Every shipping container has one nowadays.
- joezydeco 13y agoReading GPS is cheap and easy. Sending information back is not. Those shipping container trackers use GSM to call home. They're cell phones. What happens when that container is in the middle of the Pacific Ocean?
- fnordfnordfnord 13y agoThat's an interesting question. Mini "cell tower" on the ship with satellite link?
- KaiserPro 13y agoor you could just use radar, which only requires your own radar to work....
- joezydeco 13y agoThe original topic here was "why don't planes have GPS trackers on them and constantly report in, if trackers are so cheap and every car/truck/container/phone on the planet can have one?" How does a plane get data back to the ground when it's 7 miles up and 1000 miles from shore? You have to have a satellite or long-range VHF link.
- andy_ppp 13y agoThat's all fine, but the points he makes remain very valid, GPS tracking and weather info being the most valid. No-one knows why the plane went down, but arguing that technology advances can't make planes safer isn't true by the looks of the article. The fact that the security aspects of computer systems to help pilots is hard does not mean it can't be attempted successfully, the points made about drones ring true on this.
- gmu3 13y agoIn the US, most planes do have GPS, and it will be a requirement by 2020. For those interested: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_dependent_surveillance-broadcast http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_dependent_surveillanc...
- cinquemb 13y agoADSB is a whole new can of worms [0] just waiting for people to exploit… [0]: http://dangerousprototypes.com/2013/02/28/defcon-20-renderman-on-ads-b-aero-radio/ http://dangerousprototypes.com/2013/02/28/defcon-20-renderma...
- gmu3 13y agoYes the potential for abuse in any of these sensitive systems is why I think it's understandable we're moving slowly. We don't want to fuck up. The Hacker Way of “Move fast and break things” isn't always realistic.
- synx508 13y agoThe MH370 777 was fitted with ADS-B, which is how the various internet based tracking services managed to track it. Unfortunately, it was so far away from the nearest receiver site that the line-of-sight needed for microwave transmissions wasn't possible below 30,000 feet. If the plane made an emergency descent, it would've vanished from tracking very quickly though perhaps not as quickly as it did vanish. AF477 sent ACARS messages over its satellite communication link, as I recall, these are not sent as frequently as ADS-B messages but would be enough to locate the aircraft very approximately. The problem with any technical solution is it may not continue to function for the whole flight, which is why ELTs exist, but they're not indestructible or guaranteed to be in a position to transmit after a crash. There is only so much you can do with electrons, when you're facing the prospect of a large metal object falling 35,000 feet into salt water.
- zobzu 13y agoactually, HF radios with digital, encrypted & authenticated communication work GPS works, too internet safe for business fliers but not the pilot? please. it doesnt mean the whole plane relies on internet. those 3 should probably be added to current planes, regardless. i'm not sure why you think there is a single system with a "CPU" in a plane either. there's multiple independent systems - some electronic, some analog. all this not much to do with visualization or python, in fact... and software glitches in planes do happen, by the way.
- KaiserPro 13y agoI think you're missing point. For a system to be allowed on a passenger plane, it must be certified. That means that it has to go through actual real QA (something foreign to modern Software science.) You want to put in a glonass receiver? sure, but it has to operate independently of the GPS system, and it cannot replace any other navigation system unless the FAA allow it. the point is each system must be robust (i mean really robust) and able to work past the extremes independently.
- akkishore 13y agoI think there is more pessimism than required here. We need not start with ATC directly sending instructions to the iPad thats controlling the aircraft (although something similar happens in UAVs). We can start with it displaying the required instructions along with the HF radio. Also the final judgement of obeying an instruction is with the pilot and he will responsible for the results. In the era of having artificial hearts and pacemakers that are helping better lives, I don't think its as hard to even build sound and safe automated flying systems.
- bsder 13y ago> It may be stuck in the 60's but HF radios work Really? When you have to worry about things like "Squelch" in order to deal with voltage supply ground noise? You are on thin ground. The real problem with modern technology is that the pilot can't rely on it. Sure, a digital radio is $1,000 (or less). However, the digital radio that is FAA certified will be expensive and nobody is going to develop it because the FAA won't require it because all the pilots will bitch that it is too expensive.
- KaiserPro 13y agoSquelch adjusts the noise floor, and in modern radios can be automagical. Also there is nought wrong with digital over HF, as other posts will attest.
- bsder 13y agoThere are lots of solutions. But nobody is going to front the money to get it FAA certified so that it can be a required solution given that the most you will sell is 1,000 a year. This is the real reason why air technology is so far behind. There is no profit in it.
- gmu3 13y agoAt times like this, I'm reminded of the Mars Curiosity's tech specs which are something like 200MHz, 256MB of RAM, 2GB hd,and 2MP camera and all the posts about how my iPhone is so much better. Well it was good enough to get to Mars and a hell of a lot more reliable.
- lisper 13y agoSome of the research rovers we built before Sojourner had 8-bit processors with 2k EEPROM and 256 bytes of RAM. Back then there were people who thought we were crazy for thinking that some day we would be able to fly with the same 8MB of RAM that was in our MacII development machines.
- tarre 13y agoAt times like this, I'm reminded of the nuclear power plants of the world and their automation based on punched cards. When speaking about systems, which need maximal reliability and are strictly controlled by authorities (air planes, nuclear power plants, medical treatment devices, space related stuff), updating existing and once approved systems is so painful, that you often do all you can to avoid it. That's a sad state of affairs.
- logicallee 13y agoobviously anything that is stuck in the 60's works - and well, or it wouldn't still be used. author's point is that we could do better using today's technology.
- agumonkey 13y agoMore than the 'dated' technology they rely on, it's the overall system and protocols that have been crafted and polished. New tech often result in unknown regressions.
- sudomal 13y agoI'm sure I saw a documentary a few years back where an aeroplane engine manufacturer had a control centre. The sole purpose of this place was to track minute engine attributes in real time, and alert their clients of future maintenance. Is that just on the latest planes?
- rwmj 13y agoA lot of airlines hire the engines by the (flight-) hour, and those engines are monitored in real time by the manufacturer. For example: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/travelnews/8111075/Live-monitoring-helps-engine-manufacturers-track-performance.html http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/travelnews/8111075/Live-mo...
- krisoft 13y agoSo having internet would somehow magically solve all the problems. Also it doesn't seem to be written out clearly, but there seems to be the implied assumption that Air France Flight 447 had no GPS tracker. Which is false. It did have, and automatically reported it's position at certain intervals.
- joezydeco 13y agoGood point. On-board internet works great when the aircraft is at level and stable flight. It's a lot harder to transmit to a satellite in the middle of the ocean when the plane is gyrating and tossing all over the place (as in the case of AF447). All bets are also off when the plane has had a catastrophic loss of power.
- kyberias 13y agoInteresting ideas. Just a quick note about the layout of the blog text: font and line spacing are too small and the text column is too wide. The combination makes it a little hard to read. Plus points on not having grey text on grey background though.
- _pferreir_ 13y agoMost modern aircraft have GPS receivers built-in. They are actually constantly reporting this information to ground stations [1]. I'm not saying that things couldn't be better (and I'm no expert at all) but I doubt that any of these new technologies would have saved MH370. It's very weird, for instance, that the ground station that reports to flightracker24 lost ADS-B communication with the plane all of a sudden and it's pretty clear from the number of planes that you can see in the area that it is probably not a coverage issue. [1]: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transponder_(aviation) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transponder_(aviation)
- frik 13y agoIs a Boeing 777-200ER (introduced 1997) a modern aircraft in your opinion? It seems that Flight 370 had GPS tracking (flightradar24.com screenshot): http://www.voanews.com/content/vietnam-navy-official-missing-malaysia-airliner-crashed-into-south-china-sea/1867053.html http://www.voanews.com/content/vietnam-navy-official-missing... Direct link: http://www.flightradar24.com/2014-03-07/16:46/12x/MAS370/2d81a27 http://www.flightradar24.com/2014-03-07/16:46/12x/MAS370/2d8...
- philipn 13y agoI don't know much about aviation, but a number of these technologies are being implemented in commercial flights now, including NextGen (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Generation_Air_Transportation_System http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Generation_Air_Transportat...).
- adrinavarro 13y agoMost modern airliners have satellite links (data and voice) with their dispatch centers. They also use the ACARS system to send and receive clearances (they can acknowledge by pushing a button). The old SELCAL+HF radio is no longer in use, except for backup. Planes have GPS trackers. Not only their company knows where they are, the control center can too. In the case of the north atlantic track system, air control keeps a tight eye on speed, altitude and separation with very precise measurements, even as airplanes are far away from land. I just fail to see the point of this post. I recently hitched a ride on the cockpit jump seat of a modern airplane for a Europe-East Coast flight and during that I saw the air traffic control knowing exactly where we were, and the pilots communicating via text message (ACARS) with control, as well as using satellite links to contact dispatch (via text messages), as well as satellite phone calls. Pilots keep paper around them because pilots are there to maintain control, and paper is just another failsafe (with pretty good reliability record!). Bonus: some planes can notice alterations in the flight dynamics and report an ice buildup. No pilot in this planet is going to let any external person input flight parameters remotely into their aircraft's system while they are in the air.
- hydrogen18 13y agoThe author of the article is apparently so uninformed that not only does he realize that ACARS is available, but that is uses the same "awful, really awful" HF radio. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_Frequency_Data_Link https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_Frequency_Data_Link It's actually a brilliant system, with network of transmit and receive sites its like globally available text messaging for pilots. Also, unless the pilot was using atrocious equipment I can't see why HF radio would sound awful. I use my HF radio almost daily and don't have any complaints. I can legally listen to air traffic controllers on HF with no problem as well. The equipment I have is far, far inferior to that in most commercial airliners.
- notahacker 13y agoAnd pilot aids that appear to provide more information than they actually do can do more harm than good. If pilots take suicidal risks based on dubious information from "real-time" weather updates specifically designed for pilots[1], just imagine what would happen if consumer-grade iPad "real-time" weather apps found their way into the commercial cockpit. [1]http://www.maxtrescott.com/max_trescott_on_general_a/2012/06/ntsb-alertin-cockpit-nexrad-weather-age-misleading-and-killing-pilots.html http://www.maxtrescott.com/max_trescott_on_general_a/2012/06...
- tsotha 13y agoThe last thing I want to see is internet in the cockpit. What hasn't been hacked over the last few years?
- tuzemec 13y agoThe moment we saw bunch of aviation articles on HN and that plane disappears. Coincident?
- ecthiender 13y agoIt was other way round actually. News of the disappeared plane got posted here first, and then these articles related to aviation..
- tuzemec 13y agoThe moment we saw bunch of aviation articles on HN and that plane disappears. Coincidence?
- spiritplumber 13y agoAviation is stuck in the 60s because if it wasn't airliner stuff would all be automatic.
- twistedpair 13y ago@spiritplumber, I can only assume you've never flown a plane or used a flight simulator (MS Flight will do). Today's airliners are incredibly advanced. In the 60's they didn't have Terrain Collision Avoidance. Try to fly the plane into a hill and alarms go off and tell you how rapidly to ascent. They didn't have automated traffic collision avoidance (TCAS). Fly two planes at each other and it tells one pilot to dive, the other to climb and how much. They didn't have stick shakers which alert the pilot if the plane is near stalling, before it stalls, so they know to gain air speed to prevent the stall. Those are the basic standards. Today any aircraft worth it's salt has a full Doppler weather radar to avoid storms, hail and down drafts. Today the entire flight path is computer calculated and tracked from end to end. Just turn on auto pilot or keep the indicators aligned on your artificial horizon and you'll get where you're going. No one gets lost these days without trying. I've not going to even start on CatII and CatIII landings too. Today planes can land in 0, that right 0, visibility. > if it wasn't airliner stuff would all be automatic But let's keep going. Ever heard of AutoLand? Yep, plane can land itself. Ever heard of AutoFlare? Yep, plane will tilt back at just the right angle for a pillow soft touch down. Ever heard of AutoThrottle? No need to keep adjusting those engines, plane takes care of that, just tell it where you want to go. Frankly, pilots rarely do much more than tell the plane what it should do. Want to go to flight level 380? Just turn the knob to 38000ft, set the desired vertical speed rate and the plane will adjust the throttles, ailerons and trim itself out at 38000ft for you. Want to go to heading 245? Just dial in 245 degrees the plane will take your speed into consideration and speed up just enough to keep everything constant through the curve. Funny thing about automation though is not getting everything automated, but keeping pilots from getting stale because too much is automated. Take the Asiana flight, it's what we call Controlled Flight into Terrain. Not a thing wrong with that 777 but the pilot. We're worlds away from the 1960's and the 777 is among the most sophisticated and advanced craft in the world. Far more advanced than even our spacecraft of the 1960's.
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- DanielBMarkham 13y agoHopefully the author is reading this, as I have some structural comments. First, I agree with your thesis. In fact, I'd argue General Aviation is stuck in the 1950s. Lots of reasons for that, including the cost of insurance. Second, I had a hard time reading this, as you seem to lack the ability to form cohesive paragraphs. Very sorry to have to tell you, but I figured somebody should. Nobody can read a big wall of text where each paragraph is trying to say several different things at the same time. Best of luck in future drafts.
- frik 13y agoCan an aviation expert decipher the following data? MH370/MAS370 Boing 777-2H6ER Registration 9M-MRO Altitude 0ft Speed 471 kt Track 40° Vertical Speed 0 fpm Lattitude: 6.97 Longitude: 103.63 Radar: F-WMKC1 Squawk: 2157 source: http://www.flightradar24.com/2014-03-07/16:46/12x/MAS370/2d81a27#./2d81a27?&_suid=139439012725505032063548222576 http://www.flightradar24.com/2014-03-07/16:46/12x/MAS370/2d8... That particular airplane was delivered new to Malaysia Airlines in May 2002 and was involved in a ground mishap in 2012. While taxiing at Shanghai's Pudong airport, its wingtip hit the tail of another aircraft. According to an independent accident-tracking site, the damage suffered by the Boeing 777 was "substantial.": http://aviation-safety.net/wikibase/wiki.php?id=147571 http://aviation-safety.net/wikibase/wiki.php?id=147571
- yock 13y agoProbably an incomplete or corrupt report. It would be an incredible coincidence of timing for the system to produce a location data point precisely at the moment that the aircraft hit the water and before the system was destroyed. This is probably an incomplete report when aircraft left the coverage area or if the system malfunctioned mid-air and mid-transmission.
- tuxguy 13y agofrom http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/10/world/asia/malaysia-airlines-flight.html http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/10/world/asia/malaysia-airlin... "Malaysia Airlines confirmed that the missing aircraft had been involved in a collision with another plane in 2012 at the Shanghai airport that resulted in damage to the Malaysian aircraft’s wingtip. But the airline said the wing was repaired by Boeing and declared safe to fly."
- RogerL 13y agoI am by no means an aviation expert, but my career was largely built on things like putting GPS and modern radios into military aircraft, writing flight planners, and so on. I ask you to envision the logistics of a simple change. You want to implement X, and gee-whiz do I have some cool, new technology that makes it easy!! Okay. Let's start. If we make mistakes people die, and careers end. I'll let you draw your own conclusions about motivations re that, but all I'll say is as an engineer I only ever focused on the former. So, huge testing and verification effort to show that my gee-whiz technology that works in some consumer device has acceptably low failure modes, does not negatively affect pilot work flow, can work under the conditions of flight (-55C to 70C anyone?), over the wide performance characteristics (high G, high vibration, salt water, high radiation), and so on. Okay, you did all that! Let's start bolting it on the planes! No. Let's write and get approved training programs for all the maintenance workers. Then, let's train them - across the whole world. Let's write and get approved training programs for the pilot. We will fit it into their refresher training, have new mandated training, or what? Basically, rewrite all the training curriculum that is out there. Get it into the schools, so the pilots coming fresh out of school aren't behind. Again, across the world. Oh, this interfaces with the towers? Okay, so do all that again with the towers. Hmm, you want this 2013 technology to seamlessly integrate with some core memory technology - that should be easy. Perform a study, put out RFQs, get bids, select the best bidder, have them build the system, manage them through the cost overrun, opps, 3 months before deployment Congress mandates that that core-memory system be retired, and oh, how will this work in the 168 other countries? Got that sorted. No, wait, no one in the tower knows how to use it, no one knows how to install it, no one knows how to maintain it. Let's throw money and time at that! Oh, unions. I hate unions. ATCs have a union. This could take awhile.... Finally, it is 2020, and I am rolling out, um, 7 year old technology that is entirely obsolete and no longer supported by the manufacturers. Oh, they'll support it if you throw enough money at it - get your $5 microprocessor at $1000 a pop. Meanwhile, the entire world is filled with aircraft still using the old system. So, we mandate a phase-out by 2035. Just another 15 years of supporting the old and new systems in parallel. I'm sure that'll be pretty cheap. People who work in the field will rightly accuse me of hand waving, and especially of over-exaggerating some difficulties (not every modernization project hits every possible snag that exists). But this is still a useful sketch the scope of the problem. I've spent time talking to very high people in the FAA. They are not unaware of the old systems and their limitations, nor are they bumbling bureaucrats (pet peeve - it is easy to villanize faceless people, and that is very lazy thinking). We in industry are forever proposing new ideas, better technology, and so on (let's face it, they are all trying to feed at the trough of government spending, and getting your system mandated is a company maker). But the price tag for my handy,dandy system is at the noise level compared to the cost of the logistics of deployment. I am not arguing that there is nothing to be done, or that everyone is working maximally efficiently right now. Certainly the US is behind other countries in some areas of aviation technology. But it is not in any way a trivial problem, one of "just bolt a new radio to the plane and trash the old ecosystem". edit: consider, for example, the Rockwell Collins DTU-7000 Data Transfer Module (https://www.rockwellcollins.com/sitecore/content/Data/Products/Computing/Storage_Solutions/DTU-7000_Data_Transfer_Unit.aspx https://www.rockwellcollins.com/sitecore/content/Data/Produc...). This is absolutely modern hardware in the aviation world. It is PCMCIA. And how exciting it was to get. You would not believe the cost and size of the old system - we would jealously keep tracking logs of, I forget, a few MB of flash memory units that cost thousands and thousands (and thousands) of dollars. There is some even more modern stuff being rolled out that uses usb. But consider, when this is something that contains your flight plan, your maps, and so on, the cost of a stray gamma ray blowing away a byte. Mull on how much testing this hardware goes through. And then factor in all of the logistics above. We already don't have money to own the old system, and now I have to go to all this further expense, to save what is truly chump change (that thousands and thousands and thousands number) in the end? Millions to save thousands. Of course, we have to modernize, we can't store rich maps on tiny memory, so we spend, and spend, and spend. And then get a front page HN story about how old everything is! Well, there's a reason for that.
- al2o3cr 13y ago"Imagine if you had a telephone system in which you had to listen to everyone else’s conversations until somebody finally spoke to you." Now imagine that everybody on the alternative secret phone system is flying around hundreds of passengers who'll be killed if somebody misdirects a call with important instructions. I've found that, in general, if one's reaction to a practice is "WTF, is literally everybody else in this industry stoopid?" it usually means the opposite...
- anovikov 13y agoEvery commercial airplane has a GPS tracker and a transmitter which sends its vital info on air, which everyone can receive and track on sites like http://www.flightradar24.com/ http://www.flightradar24.com/ .
- bitcuration 13y agoThe only modernization needed is elimination of human pilot all together out of the loop. Then there is no training, union, or endless testing, as the robot is fail safe just like there have always been more than one engine in commercial airplane. Purposefully staying behind the technology curve is not a "safe" strategy, aviation is not alone in this obsolete thinking bias, the same is seen in utility, automobile industry too.
- lttlrck 13y agoDoes weather change that drastically over the duration of an average flight? Pilots get weather forecasts before take-off, are they inadequate? How does knowing the weather at the destination help with the immediate task of flying a plane through a thunderstorm that you knew was going to be there anyway and you can see on your radar? How more weather information change the impact of a major weather event e.g. East Coast winter storm, on air travel? I don't see how it could, the decisions are made far ahead of time because weather forecasts are pretty good.