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Very, very well said. Let's do some simple math to prove your point. Assume Comcast has about 10 Tbps of traffic at peak, single-counting all traffic that tra
by bdb 13y ago
Very, very well said.
Let's do some simple math to prove your point.
Assume Comcast has about 10 Tbps of traffic at peak, single-counting all traffic that transits AS 7922 (Comcast's national backbone network). [1] Now assume that a full 50% of that traffic is originated by Netflix, and the market price for transit is $2/mbps. The percentage is likely quite lower than that, and given 5 Tbps of traffic volume and coordination between the two networks to reduce the number of miles the bits need to be hauled by both networks, the per-megabit price is almost certainly quite a bit less.
But even with these obviously flawed guesses, we're only talking about $120mm/year in costs. Netflix's worldwide revenue in 2013 was $4.3b [2]; Comcast's 2013 revenue from their US HSI business alone was $10.3b. [3] If 50% of Comcast's $10.3b business was in jeopardy, don't you think they'd find a way to absorb that $120mm?
[1] http://as7922.peeringdb.com/ http://as7922.peeringdb.com/
[2] Netflix Q4 2013 earnings release, http://ir.netflix.com/results.cfm http://ir.netflix.com/results.cfm
[3] Comcast 10-K filed 2/12/2014
(edited: formatting)