6 ms·

Better at predicting real world consequences from priors than we are :)

unsungNovelty 5d ago
We already know why most things happen. But beat around the bush. That is the problem. We don't care. When a severe security bug crops up, one postmortem tells where we messed up. Someone somewhere didn't do his job. Maybe they prioritised speed, money or due to management issue. But we know why. When an accident happens (Motorvehicles or otherwise), most of the time, if anyone in the chain of events did their job, it could've been avoided. But we ignored the policies, standards and laws set in place to avoid just that. There can't be a better example than Boeing for this. When it comes to natural disasters, we know how to fix most of it. But we as human race just don't want to. Hell, we knew how to freakin avoid Covid which came out of the blue. 6ft apart, wash hands and mask. We couldn't agree to that to keep us ALIVE! IMO, we don't want new technologies, new innovations, new laws in most cases. We just needs to apply what we know already - PROPERLY! But that ain't fancy. All I could remember is that tweet where musk has a $2M reward for the invention of a carbon capture device or something around those lines. And someone replied to that tweet saying, it's trees. Trees do this.
- gary_0 5d ago
  Another big one is climate change. Ask the ASI how to solve that, and it's just going to say make a huge push for more renewables like solar, and strongly disincentivize GHG emissions. We already knew we had to do that. But the people in charge of the economy don't wanna.
  - unsungNovelty 5d ago
    Exactly. It's not about us NOT having the knowledge, understanding or capability to solve the issues that we have. We just don't want to do the right thing. That doesn't get fixed even if we invent time machines.
  - busyant 5d ago
    > We already knew we had to do that. But the people in charge of the economy don't wanna. I've often heard it said that <big corporations> often use consulting firms to recommend unpopular decisions they were already planning to make, thereby offloading the culpability to the consulting firm. Maybe the LLMs are going to be the ultimate "consulting firm" for our societal issues. I say this mostly tongue-in-cheek, but we're already offloading a lot of lower-level responsibilities (e.g., "write my email") onto these AIs.
    - Nevermark 5d ago
      > <big corporations> often use consulting firms Large organizations also offload decision making when they don't have a clue, and simply want to point to some action taken. The answer doesn't even matter, they just don't want to be responsible for something, or waste their own time making something (that other stakeholders care about) a real priority. People downplay the value of consultants, but they have many uses!

We already know why most things happen. But beat around the bush. That is the problem. We don't care. When a severe security bug crops up, one postmortem tells where we messed up. Someone somewhere didn't do his job. Maybe they prioritised speed, money or due to management issue. But we know why. When an accident happens (Motorvehicles or otherwise), most of the time, if anyone in the chain of events did their job, it could've been avoided. But we ignored the policies, standards and laws set in place to avoid just that. There can't be a better example than Boeing for this. When it comes to natural disasters, we know how to fix most of it. But we as human race just don't want to. Hell, we knew how to freakin avoid Covid which came out of the blue. 6ft apart, wash hands and mask. We couldn't agree to that to keep us ALIVE! IMO, we don't want new technologies, new innovations, new laws in most cases. We just needs to apply what we know already - PROPERLY! But that ain't fancy. All I could remember is that tweet where musk has a $2M reward for the invention of a carbon capture device or something around those lines. And someone replied to that tweet saying, it's trees. Trees do this.

gary_0 5d ago
Another big one is climate change. Ask the ASI how to solve that, and it's just going to say make a huge push for more renewables like solar, and strongly disincentivize GHG emissions. We already knew we had to do that. But the people in charge of the economy don't wanna.
- unsungNovelty 5d ago
  Exactly. It's not about us NOT having the knowledge, understanding or capability to solve the issues that we have. We just don't want to do the right thing. That doesn't get fixed even if we invent time machines.
- busyant 5d ago
  > We already knew we had to do that. But the people in charge of the economy don't wanna. I've often heard it said that <big corporations> often use consulting firms to recommend unpopular decisions they were already planning to make, thereby offloading the culpability to the consulting firm. Maybe the LLMs are going to be the ultimate "consulting firm" for our societal issues. I say this mostly tongue-in-cheek, but we're already offloading a lot of lower-level responsibilities (e.g., "write my email") onto these AIs.
  - Nevermark 5d ago
    > <big corporations> often use consulting firms Large organizations also offload decision making when they don't have a clue, and simply want to point to some action taken. The answer doesn't even matter, they just don't want to be responsible for something, or waste their own time making something (that other stakeholders care about) a real priority. People downplay the value of consultants, but they have many uses!