Once again, you're writing up nicely formal formulae with zero justification. It's fine to eyeball it and give your gut feeling, but it's disingenuous to prese

Once again, you're writing up nicely formal formulae with zero justification. It's fine to eyeball it and give your gut feeling, but it's disingenuous to present that as probabilistic fact. Edit: Also, you've downgraded your claim from "Extinction event" to "dangerously unaligned"