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And that's very suspicious given that they published the paper in 2026. Was it somehow impossible to find energy prices for 25+26?
by zamalek 12d ago
And that's very suspicious given that they published the paper in 2026. Was it somehow impossible to find energy prices for 25+26?
- mattkrause 12d agoNo, it's not suspicious at all! The paper was posted on the 18th of June. I would guess that means they started writing the first draft in the winter of 2026, if not earlier. 2026 data obviously wouldn't be available then, or even now---we're only in September! In fact, most data products take a few months to compile and distribute. The US will release its Q2 estimate of GDP at the end of September, for example; Statistics Canada is on a pretty similar schedule. Thus, 2025 data might not have been available when they started writing either. It's certainly possible to estimate things on your own, but now you need to show that a) your method of estimating GDP (energy prices, whatever) is valid and b) any effects you see aren't simply due to using different metrics. In short, it just takes a while to do and write up research.