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> Do you see the missing link there? They might ask: “What happens to those goods? What happens to me? Do I get given the goods? Are the goods sold and then I a

by slibhb 13d ago

> Do you see the missing link there? They might ask: “What happens to those goods? What happens to me? Do I get given the goods? Are the goods sold and then I am paid a stipend? I’m hungry. Will I still need to buy things? Okay, if so, but I have no money because I was fired.” This process will take generations. Over time, people will work less and less as productivity steadily increases (we already see this in the pre-AI era as technology has accumulated). Eventually, AI will do all necessary labor and goods/services will be incredibly cheap. Over the decades, as this situation develops, our governments will become more socialist/redistributionist. Also, it's possible that this technology just doesn't pan out. There could be a bottleneck or a nuclear war or whatever. Maybe it just stops scaling, or it stays in the realm of text-generation and can't replace manual labor. But it's worth a shot, and leftists should get on board.

reasonableklout 13d ago
> This process will take generations... Over the decades, as this situation develops, our governments will become more socialist/redistributionist. I think the crux is in how fast you think the technology is developing. The widespread view in Silicon Valley is that drop-in remote workers will be a reality within a couple years. Sam Altman is already claiming that AGI has been achieved [1]. Jack Clark from Anthropic puts a >50% chance on recursive self-improvement by the end of 2028 [2]. This is an enormous sector of labor being made redundant in a very short amount of time. So the actions taken in this specific administration over these next few years become pivotal. The industry is unregulated and currently undergoing explosive growth in a way we haven't seen since the railroads, in entirely the wrong direction to Sanders' interests. He is a major player in the political process, so of course he will take measures to get things under control. > But it's worth a shot, and leftists should get on board. That's why the bill is about "temporarily pausing" development, not banning it forever. This is to say nothing of the catastophic risks that the bill is actually mostly about, not just the labor disruptions. [1]: https://venturebeat.com/technology/welcome-to-the-agi-era-openai-launches-gpt-6-astra https://venturebeat.com/technology/welcome-to-the-agi-era-op... [2]: https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/2051312759594471886?lang=en https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/2051312759594471886?lang=en

by slibhb 13d ago

reasonableklout 13d ago

> This process will take generations... Over the decades, as this situation develops, our governments will become more socialist/redistributionist. I think the crux is in how fast you think the technology is developing. The widespread view in Silicon Valley is that drop-in remote workers will be a reality within a couple years. Sam Altman is already claiming that AGI has been achieved [1]. Jack Clark from Anthropic puts a >50% chance on recursive self-improvement by the end of 2028 [2]. This is an enormous sector of labor being made redundant in a very short amount of time. So the actions taken in this specific administration over these next few years become pivotal. The industry is unregulated and currently undergoing explosive growth in a way we haven't seen since the railroads, in entirely the wrong direction to Sanders' interests. He is a major player in the political process, so of course he will take measures to get things under control. > But it's worth a shot, and leftists should get on board. That's why the bill is about "temporarily pausing" development, not banning it forever. This is to say nothing of the catastophic risks that the bill is actually mostly about, not just the labor disruptions. [1]: https://venturebeat.com/technology/welcome-to-the-agi-era-openai-launches-gpt-6-astra https://venturebeat.com/technology/welcome-to-the-agi-era-op... [2]: https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/2051312759594471886?lang=en https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/2051312759594471886?lang=en