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> February 2025: "I will keep writing this stuff until I’m proven wrong." Wrong (Zitron continues to write despite repeatedly being proven wrong) This was a go

> February 2025: "I will keep writing this stuff until I’m proven wrong." Wrong (Zitron continues to write despite repeatedly being proven wrong) This was a good one.

root-parent 15d ago
The doctor said I was sick...but I did not die on Tuesday, so checkmate! You are confusing an imprecise prognosis with a false diagnosis. And The funniest part is that "he keeps writing, therefore he was proven wrong" contains no actual proof that he is wrong.
- adroitboss 15d ago
  Imprecise and incorrect are the same thing when it comes to an exact science. His predictions include dates and that makes them binary. You can only be right or wrong. Being close is still incorrect, and he's not even close.
  - p-e-w 15d ago
    Indeed. I’m baffled by the comments here. He predicted that a plateau had been reached multiple times in Spring 2024, and now more than two years have passed and capabilities have exploded since then. He wasn’t being imprecise, he wasn’t “correct in spirit”, he was DEAD WRONG.
    - scrollaway 14d ago
      Unfortunately, anti-AI sentiment on HN is for some people so ridiculously pronounced, that you can get them to say the most insane stuff. I had a couple of people the other day responding to a sarcastic comment, agreeing that being an alcoholic is cooler than using AI. Sad state of affairs. You cannot reason with these people.
      - GPerson 12d ago
        Usually when people feel passionately about their beliefs, in disagreement to your own, it is because they are unreasonable idiots, unable to contend with different systems of values.
- janalsncm 14d ago
  It’s more like if Zitron was a doctor his prognosis would be “you’re going to die on Tuesday” and you come back on Wednesday (after not dying on Tuesday) and he defends it by saying “everybody dies”.
  - root-parent 14d ago
    I cant believe you think this is a logical argument :-) If these are humans please gives us LLMs :-)
wccrawford 15d ago
Hilarious, but he never actually said he'd stop writing, just that he'd continue writing until proven wrong. And provably, he did. He wrote until then, and continued after. Since he never stopped writing, he met the challenge. He's now free to stop writing whenever he wants and still not fail that statement. ;)
- spiderfarmer 15d ago
  Are you a software tester?
  - wccrawford 14d ago
    I am a developer, but my wife is a tester. And I've always enjoyed logic puzzles. :D
  - janalsncm 14d ago
    Maybe just a big Mitch Hedberg fan?

> February 2025: "I will keep writing this stuff until I’m proven wrong." Wrong (Zitron continues to write despite repeatedly being proven wrong) This was a good one.

root-parent 15d ago

The doctor said I was sick...but I did not die on Tuesday, so checkmate! You are confusing an imprecise prognosis with a false diagnosis. And The funniest part is that "he keeps writing, therefore he was proven wrong" contains no actual proof that he is wrong.

adroitboss 15d ago
Imprecise and incorrect are the same thing when it comes to an exact science. His predictions include dates and that makes them binary. You can only be right or wrong. Being close is still incorrect, and he's not even close.
- p-e-w 15d ago
  Indeed. I’m baffled by the comments here. He predicted that a plateau had been reached multiple times in Spring 2024, and now more than two years have passed and capabilities have exploded since then. He wasn’t being imprecise, he wasn’t “correct in spirit”, he was DEAD WRONG.
  - scrollaway 14d ago
    Unfortunately, anti-AI sentiment on HN is for some people so ridiculously pronounced, that you can get them to say the most insane stuff. I had a couple of people the other day responding to a sarcastic comment, agreeing that being an alcoholic is cooler than using AI. Sad state of affairs. You cannot reason with these people.
    - GPerson 12d ago
      Usually when people feel passionately about their beliefs, in disagreement to your own, it is because they are unreasonable idiots, unable to contend with different systems of values.
janalsncm 14d ago
It’s more like if Zitron was a doctor his prognosis would be “you’re going to die on Tuesday” and you come back on Wednesday (after not dying on Tuesday) and he defends it by saying “everybody dies”.
- root-parent 14d ago
  I cant believe you think this is a logical argument :-) If these are humans please gives us LLMs :-)

wccrawford 15d ago

Hilarious, but he never actually said he'd stop writing, just that he'd continue writing until proven wrong. And provably, he did. He wrote until then, and continued after. Since he never stopped writing, he met the challenge. He's now free to stop writing whenever he wants and still not fail that statement. ;)

spiderfarmer 15d ago
Are you a software tester?
- wccrawford 14d ago
  I am a developer, but my wife is a tester. And I've always enjoyed logic puzzles. :D
- janalsncm 14d ago
  Maybe just a big Mitch Hedberg fan?