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This betrays a lack of understanding of nominal versus real debt dynamics. (And also taxes, but I'll admit that my upbringing has probably given me a unique per
by nrr 15d ago
This betrays a lack of understanding of nominal versus real debt dynamics. (And also taxes, but I'll admit that my upbringing has probably given me a unique perspective on Caesar and what it means for us to be able to use his money.)
Of particular note, debt instruments are denominated in nominal dollars, and they're paid back in nominal dollars, but what concerns the creditor is the real value of those nominal payments. Economic growth has this pernicious habit of pushing nominal prices upward, and if the money supply and credit system don't grow commensurate with the resulting increased demand for liquidity, the real burden of existing nominal debts can rise sharply and unpredictably.
This means that borrowers can find themselves underwater on, e.g., mortgages while the nominal obligations remain fixed, and banks will swiftly foreclose on them and tighten credit when considering their balance sheets. Many of the panics of the 1800's included a lot of this very dynamic.
It's a very bad time.