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Hadn't seen this quote before, amazing. Also goes to show how hard it is to predict anything that is a massive change - these levels of changes are so infreque
by voncheese 16d ago
Hadn't seen this quote before, amazing.
Also goes to show how hard it is to predict anything that is a massive change - these levels of changes are so infrequent that we can't rely on priors to predict the future.
- tyg13 14d agopretty sure Krugman himself said his prediction was intentionally pessimistic to counter the hyper-optimism of his peers. and in fairness, he wrote that at the height of the dot-com bubble. actually, thinking about it more, I wonder if we'll see something similar with LLMs where, the bubble will eventually pop, but the technology won't disappear, and we'll see it quietly improve and integrate further into our lives over time. probably not that wild of a prediction to make, but I do wonder still