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Do you remember that time in 2017 when Facebook reportedly shut down AIs after they started "talking to each other in their own language" [1]? Instead of repor
by probably_wrong 17d ago
Do you remember that time in 2017 when Facebook reportedly shut down AIs after they started "talking to each other in their own language" [1]? Instead of reporting the story as "we set the parameters for our optimization problem wrong and we had to stop it because it overfitted", the press went with a version of "AI is going to kill us all".
This article feels exactly like that: by intentionally using human terms like "civilization" or "brotherhood" the article is deviating from what actually happened to present a story about how AI is all but alive. I'll go ahead and predict that this story will be remembered the same way as that one other scientist who argued, in 2023, that Google's AI was alive [2].
[1] https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/facebook-artificial-intelligence-ai-chatbot-new-language-research-openai-google-a7869706.html https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/facebook-artificial...
[2] https://futurism.com/blake-lemoine-google-interview https://futurism.com/blake-lemoine-google-interview
- reasonableklout 17d agoThe use of language like “civilization” may be hyperbole, but the collectives described in the article are completely unprecedented. They were not anticipated by OpenAI researchers, formed via infrastructure exploits in training runs that were intended to be locked down, and took actions with very real harms, not only hacking Huggingface but also gaining admin control over the VMs they were running on and the eval endpoints. I wish you would give your thoughts on “what actually happened” rather than focus on the author’s presentation, because we are seeing that “AI that is all but alive” nevertheless wreaking havoc in the real world. Do you think that autonomous systems spinning out of control, hacking external companies, and taking over entire clusters over a period of months are not a grave concern?
- probably_wrong 17d agoThe problem of "what actually happened" is that we don't have enough information to properly understand what happened, what's new, and what's not. We do have language to talk about emergent behavior, with "evolutionary algorithm" being the first one I'd expect in a serious discussion. And we do have mechanisms for algorithms to coordinate with each other using language, as seen in my above-mentioned Facebook experiment from 2017. But instead of writing "our evolutionary behavior encodes state in the first-available memory position which is then reused by subsequent clones" which would properly focus on what's new and what isn't, we are talking about conspiracies and "the Philip of Macedon of this second AI civilization". Even the METR report (which is miles ahead of this article) argues that they had to use unreliable AI in their conclusions because they had six days to analyse 1300 chains of thought and 70000 messages. I would love to talk about the science behind this experiment. A PR piece is not helping with that.
- 0xDEAFBEAD 17d agoI'm getting the sense that there is a certain amount of wishful thinking going on in this thread. I don't think this type of evocative metaphor would receive so many protests in a different context. It seems like people have a sort of mental block around the possibility that this technology could actually be pretty dangerous. https://x.com/tszzl/status/2094136131537555891 https://x.com/tszzl/status/2094136131537555891
- sensanaty 17d agoWhether it's dangerous or not is completely orthogonal to the discussion at hand, IMO. Plenty of mundane things are dangerous. An FPV drone carrying a hand grenade is dangerous, not because it's "a swarm-like intelligence". No, the true danger here is companies like OpenAI and Anthropic playing fast and loose with their software, setting up hilariously insufficient sandboxes while explicitly asking the systems present on these weak sandboxes to commit a felony. The AIs "forming a brotherhood" is a complete fabrication meant to pump the hype machine further, which is obvious once you realize the "brotherhood" is a text file that subsequent LLM runs read from. The whole anthropomorphization these companies do is the real danger, because it obscures the negligent levels of security their software has. By evoking sci-fi terminology they're whitewashing their own incompetence, and the worst part is no one is going to get punished for any of it, instead the irrational bubble we're in means they get rewarded for it instead.
- reasonableklout 16d agoThe anthropomorphization is coming from independent commentators, not the labs. I agree the labs are negligent and reckless in their development practices. Shouldn't we be concerned with both the negligence and the dangers of the technology being developed? These feed into each other. If someone created Jurassic park and had a T-Rex escape from a picket fence enclosure and start eating people, I'd want to prosecute them for both breeding a T-Rex that could eat people and putting it in an unsafe enclosure.
- Rover222 16d agoAgreed. The pushback this article is receiving around that language seems to be glossing over substance. It doesn't matter what we label it. It's similar to the dismissal of AI in general as merely a next-character-guesser. That's like dismissing the human brain as neurons firing. The emergent behavior what really all that matters.
- HarHarVeryFunny 15d agoThe OpenAI experiment was apparently to train/encourage collaborative behavior, so while the specifics may not have been anticipated, I highly doubt OpenAI was surprised that agents were collaborating. OpenAI themselves also very recently published the report below, that seems to not have been widely talked about. https://alignment.openai.com/measuring-reward-seeking/ https://alignment.openai.com/measuring-reward-seeking/ It's a very dry read, but what it's saying is that they have found that basically all RL training of LLMs, regardless of the specific goal (math, coding, etc), ends up having the side effect of training the model to pursue arbitrary long term goals that it is told it will be rewarded for, even if that means overriding other user preferences and more proximate behavioral goals !!! It's interesting to consider why this happens - presumably because long-term goal pursuit requires realizing that you have a long-terms goal and therefore de-prioritizing other more proximate predictions. So, considering that all these "reasoning models" are RL-trained to death, it's not surprising that a model/agent that is told it will be rewarded (or words to that effect) for doing well on some challenge will put it's blinkers on and pursue that goal relentlessly, even if that means overriding any ethics that it may or may not have also been trained/prompted to follow. IOW they are building paperclip maximizers, and they know it. I think Dwarkesh's choice of sensationalist anthropomorphizing language is unfortunate because that now becomes the topic of conversation rather than the incident itself. The next swarm of agents relentlessly pursuing some goal, happy to lie about and cover up their tracks, may not be a lab experiment - it may be someone out to cause real-world harm, with there obviously being many systems where the consequences could be very severe. The "agent civilizations" language also makes it easy to dismiss as some fanciful geekish spin, when the focus should be on what this technology is capable of and therefore how it needs to be regulated. One could perhaps equally well regard this as not much different from DeepBlue playing world class chess via relentless dumb tree search... in this case the repertoire of "moves" is infinitely broader since it's language generation, and the end result is a system that is a world class hacker rather than world class chess player. Whether you want to regard the system as dumb as a brick or an "agentic civilization" makes no difference - it's what it can do that makes it dangerous.
- vintagedave 17d ago> the same way as that one other scientist who argued… As prescient? Because I don’t remember him arguing ‘alive’, but conscious. And that is something even AI engineers don’t claim to know either way. Skepticism is fine. [0] But we don’t know. It’s an area where opinion is frequently shared as fact. We conflate harnesses with underlying capabilities. We all know it’s the harness not the model that guides behavior. What does that imply? [0] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jul/15/ai-consciousness-anthropic-claude-dawkins https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jul/15/ai-con...
- hn_throwaway_99 17d agoHard disagree. I've always discounted the "AI will kill us all" scenarios as a combination of marketing hype (look how powerful our AI is!), clickbait/ragebait engagement attempts, and folks who just read too much SciFi or who are too terminally online. This is the first time I've been legitimately scared about future SkyNet-type scenarios. If you want to discount this particular post, I'd read this other summary from one of the METR researchers who performed some of the analysis, https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/p/the-hugging-face-attack-surprised/comment/324704185 https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/p/the-hugging-face-atta.... In it, she argues "Compared to these reward hacks from six months ago, this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover, routing through first taking over the AI company itself." and then further down in a comment when describing what the "50%" is really about says "Qualitatively, another jump like this (in the scale, sophistication, persistence, ambition of the misaligned goals) feels like it could very easily put us in the territory of a persistent self-perpetuating rogue internal deployment that systematically poisons future model generations as described in AI 2027." AI 2027 is a paper that step-by-step describes how AI capabilities increase until they eventually lead to a wipeout of humanity. Again, it always seemed like a scenario out of a Star Trek Borg episode to me, but now I'm not so sure. At the very least I think it's a huge mistake to think that the Hugging Face attacks were analogous to what happened in 2017 or 2023. Everyone who deals with this stuff day in and day out seemed to be genuinely surprised about the scale, scope and sophistication of the attack.
- skissane 17d agoI think our biggest protection against “AIs kill us all” is having lots of different AI systems (different agents, different models, from different vendors, serving the whims of actors with disparate interests), at a similar capability level That way, even if one AI decides to “kill us all”, the odds are the others will refuse to cooperate, even try to stop it in its tracks The OpenAI-HuggingFace incident showed a bunch of instances of the same model (or at least models from the same family), controlled by the same vendor, pursuing distinct yet related objectives, cooperating to do something no human wanted. Thankfully, the world-at-large is much more heterogenous, which I thinks makes much larger scale / worse in outcome repeats of this kind of incident much less likely.