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> Ajeya Cotra, one of the other authors on the report, wrote a blog post with her takeaways from this incident. She concludes, “Compared to the reward hacks we
by doctoboggan 18d ago
> Ajeya Cotra, one of the other authors on the report, wrote a blog post with her takeaways from this incident. She concludes, “Compared to the reward hacks we know of from just six months ago, this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover. I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities over the next six months. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot before it’s too late.”
Anyone got a copy of that AI27 story laying around? How are we doing according to that timeline?
- kirushik 18d ago85% on track, according to https://ai2027tracker.com/ https://ai2027tracker.com/
- lovich 17d agoIf you remove the single point of GPT-4 from the beginning of the graph instead of starting the line directly on it, it looks a hell of a lot more linear than quadratic/exponential
- 0xDEAFBEAD 17d agoThe y-axis itself is logarithmic no? So even if the line was straight you're still looking at exponential progress.
- red-iron-pine 16d ago[dead]
- xg15 18d ago> "this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover. I continue to expect extremely rapid advances in capabilities over the next six months. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot before it’s too late." Is that a warning or a progress report?