Predicting how the gravity interacts on just 3 bodies is a very hard problem. Now we are dealing with a very complex system (not just the climate one) with a lo

Predicting how the gravity interacts on just 3 bodies is a very hard problem. Now we are dealing with a very complex system (not just the climate one) with a lot of pieces, interactions, feedback loops, and not yet known important components. From now to 2050 there is a lot of space for white and black swans. The question here is not if it will surely happen, but if we keep doing what we are doing worth the risk, and that risk should not be measured just by raw amount of anonymous deaths. Personally, I don't feel comfortable pushing a system with so many positive feedback loops on warming, some even recently discovered. Then that has been a major factor in the process of disruption or change on some used-to-be-stable features of our climate system, like the polar vortex, gulf stream, and maybe El Niño, And then there are not properly evaluated fragility in the food production system, global distribution, economy, politics and society/culture. The pieces are there, will they ensemble in the worst way. I suppose that in hindsight it will become evident, but then there will be nothing to do.