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Taking a multi-decade perspective, I wonder if our general analysis is focused too much on the initial wave of LLM tech and current gen GPUs. Owning a massive
by bonesss 1mo ago
Taking a multi-decade perspective, I wonder if our general analysis is focused too much on the initial wave of LLM tech and current gen GPUs.
Owning a massive data center connected to water and power and network that can be targeted or converted to developing needs seems like a decent problem to have for the big cloud companies. We have compute hungry companies and media, in addition to cryptocurrencies etc, and we’ll have more of them in 2045.
I don’t know if I’m underestimating how purpose-built these datacenters are, or overestimating the accountants in the corporate vehicles building them, but the broader situation doesn’t seem as fragile as 1929 or 2008 (even if the businesses are overvalued and LLMs fall totally out of fashion).
- fooker 1mo agoYou're right. This is more like a real estate cash grab. I'd guess that it'll only get more and more difficult to obtain permits to do this in future. And expensive. Similar to how if you want to buy land and build a house, it's pretty much impossible nowadays in the vicinity of a decently sized city. But fifty year old houses are dime a dozen.