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> Now is probably a good time to liquidate your pension, fly to a remote island somewhere, and live out the remaining 6 months or so of civilization in peace.
by taffydavid 3mo ago
> Now is probably a good time to liquidate your pension, fly to a remote island somewhere, and live out the remaining 6 months or so of civilization in peace.
> So maybe the open source apocalypse won’t happen yet.
Sorry I wasn't at the last doomer meeting, when did we decide good open source models are a harbinger for the apocalypse?
- kageroumado 3mo agoIf anything open-source models are a hedge against the apocalypse. Or at least against the cyberpunk dystopia.
- moffkalast 3mo agoIt's an apocalypse for the paid SAAS providers, which is the best thing that could possibly happen to help prevent the completely feudalist future they want to enact down the line. The world's knowledge on a USB stick is the the greatest danger to those that would like to restrict and sell what they freely benefited from themselves.
- port11 3mo agoCute. Climate change’s apocalyptical impact on food crops and cancer rates (post-ozone collapse) never convinced people to enact change. But hey, it’s open-model LLMs, the boogeyman! Can’t have that, it must be OpenAI or Anthropic safely controlling the market and calling all the shots.
- roenxi 3mo agoAre you sure you haven't gotten your catastrophes crossed? Ozone depletion was a different crisis and people did enact change, the ozone hole has been closing fairly steadily. Wikipedia [0] thinks the prospects for the ozone layer are pretty good. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone_depletion#Prospects_of_ozone_depletion https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone_depletion#Prospects_of_o...
- taffydavid 3mo agoIf only climate change was as easy a solve
- hdgvhicv 3mo agoOzone action occurred before the rise of social media. We were fortunate. 20 years later and we’d have been screwed
- taffydavid 3mo agoI think it was more that the change required was relatively simple, and the industry was sort of already phasing out CFCs anyway. Banning them in fridges and aerosols was mostly frictionless and a win for everyone. Turning the entire planet carbon neutral is so much harder a problem. Also the fossil fuel industries have been trying to bury research on global warming since long before social media existed
- port11 3mo agoSome climate models expect permafrost decay and/or mere GHG rise to erode the ozone layer. It’s not 1:1 proven, but there’s indication that in a post-4C world (with feedback loops), we might slowly lose our protection against the sun’s radiation. I don’t recommend getting into the literature, it’s… depressing. (Your point about the global, concerted effort to limit the “holes” in the ozone layer reminds me that we can, when pressed, come together to tackle serious issues.)
- roenxi 3mo agoI'm quite happy to read literature, typically what happens when I do is I come away with the impression everything is pretty good. If you've found something that is actually going to be a problem then you're the first person in something like 5 years and I'd like to know about it. What models are you referring to?
- 3mo ago
- danlugo92 3mo agoDoomerism is at all time high People becoming more and more neurotic by the day
- deleted 3mo ago[deleted]
- tarpitt 3mo agoperhaps doomerism is just the logical reaction to our real-world conditions right now
- somnial 3mo agothis is a blog post from a company that hosts open weights LLMs (https://www.doubleword.ai/ https://www.doubleword.ai/). I think its possible it might have been tongue in cheek
- alienbaby 3mo agoI assumed it meant that when open weights reach the capability of frontier models, and tounge in cheek referencing the terrible consequences of us all getting our hands on mythos+ capability models without restrictions.