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Exactly. The lede buried here is, as you say, accurate prediction is not better understanding Which has a statistician counterintuition Less "accurate" m
by vi_sextus_vi 4mo ago
Exactly. The lede buried here is, as you say,
accurate prediction is not better understanding
Which has a statistician counterintuition
Less "accurate" model can lead to better prediction
Therefore (in my understanding)
A better understanding encodes more info about how much more it can be improved, when compared to a less good understanding
Maybe understanding should be related to wisdom rather than intelligence? Like Socrates. AGW?
Explained by this wonderful series
- simonh 4mo agoI like the point about improvement. For a long time the geocentric cycle and epicycle models of the solar system generated more accurate predictions in most cases than heliocentric ones. Yet anomalies in planetary motion could never have lead to the discoveries of the outer planets using that approach.
- sifar 4mo agoCan you please elaborate on the series ? I didn't get the reference.
- vi_sextus_vi 4mo agoSorry was in a bit of brain fog https://youtu.be/_Zxr9STGwbQ?t=3m39s https://youtu.be/_Zxr9STGwbQ?t=3m39s There's an upcoming book, mentioned in the blurb