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I am pretty sure the US has not 4.2 percent growth Source? I live in the US and I have lived in countries with 4-5 gdp growth

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mschuster91 8mo ago
They are likely referring to Q3/25 numbers [1]. The problem is the AI bubble, without it it is speculated that the US economy might actually be in a recession [2] - effectively, that web of investments, deals, ownerships, purchase contracts and god knows what is nothing more than wash trading that will come crashing down hard. That is why for the 99%, the economy doesn't "feel" like 4.3% of growth. If you're not in AI directly or at least adjacent (e.g. datacenter or utility construction), you don't feel any of that money. [1] https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth [2] https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/ai-infrastructure-boom-masks-potential-us-recession-analyst-warns.html https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/ai-infrastructure-boom-masks...
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missedthecue 8mo ago
The latest US GDP print is the Q3 2025 Initial Estimate, showing real GDP grew at a 4.3% annual rate https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/us-economy-grew-third-quarter-rcna250644 https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/us-economy-grew-thi...
- dukeyukey 8mo ago
  That is an annualised figure, which means they took the Q3 figure by itself and multiplied it by 4. US annualised growth in Q1 would've been -2%. Between Q1/2/3, US growth has been about 1.6%. Wait until the whole year figures come out.
  - jacquesm 8mo ago
    And you have to wonder: if they do come out, are they truthful or are they fabricated.
  - WarmWash 8mo ago
    Holiday spending was up 6.8% YoY and the highest spending on record. About 67% of GDP comes from consumer spending. It's very unlikely the US doesn't have strong GDP numbers for 2025. K-shaped economy and all that

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mschuster91 8mo ago

They are likely referring to Q3/25 numbers [1]. The problem is the AI bubble, without it it is speculated that the US economy might actually be in a recession [2] - effectively, that web of investments, deals, ownerships, purchase contracts and god knows what is nothing more than wash trading that will come crashing down hard. That is why for the 99%, the economy doesn't "feel" like 4.3% of growth. If you're not in AI directly or at least adjacent (e.g. datacenter or utility construction), you don't feel any of that money. [1] https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth [2] https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/ai-infrastructure-boom-masks-potential-us-recession-analyst-warns.html https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/14/ai-infrastructure-boom-masks...

deleted 8mo ago
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missedthecue 8mo ago

The latest US GDP print is the Q3 2025 Initial Estimate, showing real GDP grew at a 4.3% annual rate https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/us-economy-grew-third-quarter-rcna250644 https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/us-economy-grew-thi...

dukeyukey 8mo ago
That is an annualised figure, which means they took the Q3 figure by itself and multiplied it by 4. US annualised growth in Q1 would've been -2%. Between Q1/2/3, US growth has been about 1.6%. Wait until the whole year figures come out.
- jacquesm 8mo ago
  And you have to wonder: if they do come out, are they truthful or are they fabricated.
- WarmWash 8mo ago
  Holiday spending was up 6.8% YoY and the highest spending on record. About 67% of GDP comes from consumer spending. It's very unlikely the US doesn't have strong GDP numbers for 2025. K-shaped economy and all that