6 ms·

Great summary of the year in LLMs. Is there a predictions (for 2026) blogpost as well?

• simonw 9mo ago
  Given how badly my 2025 predictions aged I'm probably going to sit that one out! https://simonwillison.net/2025/Jan/10/ai-predictions/ https://simonwillison.net/2025/Jan/10/ai-predictions/
  • DANmode 9mo ago
    Don’t be a bad sport, now!!
  • zahlman 9mo ago
    Making predictions is useful even when they turn out very wrong. Consider also giving confidence levels, so that you can calibrate going forward.
    • jjude 9mo ago
      I use predictions to prepare rather than to plan. Planing depends on deterministic view of the future. I used to plan (esp annual plans) until about 5 years. Now I scan for trends and prepare myself for different scenarios that can come in the future. Even if you get it approximately right, you stand apart. For tech trends, I read Simon, Benedict Evans, Mary Meeker etc. Simon is in a better position make these predictions than anyone else having closely analyzed these trends over the last few years. Here I wrote about my approach: https://www.jjude.com/shape-the-future/ https://www.jjude.com/shape-the-future/
• deleted 9mo ago
  [deleted]