5 ms·
What could possibly go wrong? /s
by Veliladon 1y ago
What could possibly go wrong? /s
- ToucanLoucan 1y agoI didn't have "One of the larger global nuclear powers elects the dumbest man alive as president" as a Great Filter in my paper back in college, but it increasingly feels like a distinct possibility.
- chris_wot 1y agoThe U.S. will never recover from this. Why? Because when foreign nations decide whether to do a deal with the U.S. they will do it with only a maxmimum of 4 year timeframes in mind. Because any deal you do with a sane administration could quite possibly be ended by the American people electing someone who is batshit insane, and who is backed by a bunch of cronies, sycophants and morons.
- cosmicgadget 1y agoSix years is a better bet, due to some legislature terms and the fact that a president will be in office for eight years unless they do something really stupid. But considering the counterparties can be countries like South Korea, Italy, the Philippines, Argentina, and Brazil, it's not like disruption isn't already baked in.
- jedberg 1y ago>? the fact that a president will be in office for eight years unless they do something really stupid. The last two terms (and this one assuming the law is actually followed) will all be 4 years. Going back to the beginning, only 34% of the terms have been 8 years or more.
- cosmicgadget 1y agoImho going back before Reagan isn't really relevant. In the modern era we have Reagan (8), Bush I (4 because he raised taxes), Clinton (8), Bush II (8), Obama (8), Trump (4 because he botched covid), Biden (4). Biden would probably have been re-elected were it not for the cognitive decline, so he didn't exactly do anything wrong enough to be a single-term president.
- jedberg 1y agoDon’t forget Trump-47 will be another four. So of the last eight Presidents, 4 were one term. That’s still 50%
- asdff 1y agoIt isn't like foreign nations are immune to this either. Look at places like Hungary.
- OkayPhysicist 1y agoHungary isn't trying desperately to hold onto "single most powerful country in the world" status. The US being as relevant as Hungary is one of the most extreme scenarios of "The end of Pax Americana".
- asdff 1y agoWell, stands to reason that more significant nations can lose the hat at any time.
- chris_wot 1y agoWell, when it happens to the level that it has under Trump, that country is in big trouble also. But noone (and I mean noone) has damaged a democratic nation as badly as Trump. There are a lot of contenders, but they all miss the mark by quite a bit.