You don't believe Team Cherry's prior sales of Hollow Knight would reach the bar noted in the docs you linked? Aside, your second point is incorrect. The Steam

You don't believe Team Cherry's prior sales of Hollow Knight would reach the bar noted in the docs you linked? Aside, your second point is incorrect. The SteamDB folks have a public write up on analysis of the preload system: https://steamdb.info/blog/steam-download-system/ https://steamdb.info/blog/steam-download-system/