At the end of the day, the outputs simply reflect the inputs. Initially I was of the "if it looks, walks like duck" view when it comes to LLMs and thinking. But

At the end of the day, the outputs simply reflect the inputs. Initially I was of the "if it looks, walks like duck" view when it comes to LLMs and thinking. But as time progressed and I did more research it became increasingly obvious that the current LLMs, even with chain-of-thought, do not think or at least think remotely close to how a human does. Advancement of LLM ability seems to be logarithmic rather than the exponential trend AI doomers fear. Advancement won't continue without a paradigm shift and even then I am not sure we will ever reach ASI.