In January their model estimated 2.4% https://web.archive.org/web/20250107140003/https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow https://web.archive.org/web/202

In January their model estimated 2.4% https://web.archive.org/web/20250107140003/https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow https://web.archive.org/web/20250107140003/https://www.atlan... The model is likely based on fundamental economic factors and rational decision making. The latter is why Q1 ended up with -0.3% growth. You could call this the Trump effect.