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Geoguessing isn't much of a reasoning task, its more about memorizing a bunch of knowledge. Since LLMs contain essentially all knowledge, it's not surprising t
by s17n 1y ago
Geoguessing isn't much of a reasoning task, its more about memorizing a bunch of knowledge. Since LLMs contain essentially all knowledge, it's not surprising that they would be good at this.
As far as goalpost-moving goes, it's wild to me that nobody is talking about the turing test these days.
- distortionfield 1y agoBecause the Chinese Room is a much better analogy for what LLMs are doing inside than the Turing test is.
- jibal 1y agoThat's a non sequitur that mixes apples and giraffes, and is completely wrong about what happens in the Chinese Room and what happens in LLMs. Ex hypothesi, the "rule book" that the Searle homunculus in the Chinese Room uses is "the right sort of program" to implement "Strong AI". The LLM algorithm is very much not that sort of program, it's a statistical pattern matcher. Strong AI does symbolic reasoning, LLMs do not. But worse, the Turing Test is not remotely intended to be an "analogy for what LLMs are doing inside" so your comparison makes no sense whatsoever, and completely fails to address the actual point--which is that, for ages the Turing Test was held out as the criterion for determining whether a system was "thinking", but that has been abandoned in the face of LLMs, which have near perfect language models and are able to closely model modes of human interaction regardless of whether they are "thinking" (and they aren't, so the TT is clearly an inadequate test, which some argued for decades before LLMs became a reality).
- semi-extrinsic 1y ago> the TT is clearly an inadequate test, which some argued for decades before LLMs became a reality To be specific, in a curious quirk of fate, LLMs seem to be proving right much of what Chomsky was saying about language. E.g. in 1996 he described the Turing test as "although highly influential, it seems to me not only foreign to the sciences but also close to senseless". (Curious in that VC backed businesses are experimentally verifying the views of a prominent anti-capitalist socialist.)
- YeGoblynQueenne 1y agoFrom my personal notes (I love taking notes on this kind of stuff): As far as I can see all of this [he's speaking about the Loebner Prize and the Turing test in general] is entirely pointless. It's like asking how we can determine empirically whether an aeroplane can fly the answer being if it can fool someone into thinking that it's an eagle under some conditions. https://youtu.be/0hzCOsQJ8Sc?si=MUXpmIwAzcla9lvK&t=2052 https://youtu.be/0hzCOsQJ8Sc?si=MUXpmIwAzcla9lvK&t=2052
- CamperBob2 1y agoWhat happens if we give the operator of the Chinese Room a nontrivial math problem, one that can't simply be answered with a symbolic lookup but requires the operator to proceed step-by-step on a path of inquiry that he doesn't even know he's taking? The analogy I used in another thread is a third grader who finds a high school algebra book. She can read the book easily, but without access to teachers or background material that she can engage with -- consciously, literately, and interactively, unlike the Chinese Room operator -- she will not be able to answer the exercises in the book correctly, the way an LLM can.
- TimorousBestie 1y agoA lot happens in seventy-five years.
- jibal 1y agoPeople were talking about the Turing Test as the criterion for whether a system was "thinking" up until the advent of LLMs, which was far less than 75 years ago.
- zahlman 1y agoI see this claim asserted frequently, but never with evidence. It doesn't match my personal perception.
- debugnik 1y agoThe whole point of Turing's paper was to show that the Test doesn't answer whether a computer thinks, because it's a meaningless metric, but instead shows what the computer can do, which is much more meaningful.
- bluefirebrand 1y ago> As far as goalpost-moving goes, it's wild to me that nobody is talking about the turing test these days To be honest I am still not entirely convinced that current LLMs pass the turing test consistently, at least not with any reasonably skeptical tester "Reasonably Skeptical Tester" is a bit of goalpost shifting, but... Let's be real here. Most of these LLMs have way too much of a "customer service voice", it's not very conversational and I think it is fairly easy to identify, especially if you suspect they are an LLM and start to probe their behavior Frankly, if the bar for passing the Turing Test is "it must fool some number of low intelligence gullible people" then we've had AI for decades, since people have been falling for scammy porno bots for a long time
- jibal 1y agoOne needs to be more than "reasonably skeptical" and merely not "low intelligence gullible" to be a competent TT judge--it requires skill, experience, and understanding an LLM's weak spots. And the "customer service voice" you see is one that is intentionally programmed in by the vendors via baseline rules. They can be programmed differently--or overridden by appropriate prompts--to have a very different tone. LLMs trained on trillions of human-generated text fragments available from the internet have shown that the TT is simply not an adequate test for identifying whether a machine is "thinking"--which was Turing's original intent in his 1950 paper "Computing Machinery and Intelligence" in which he introduced the test (which he called "the imitation game").
- bluefirebrand 1y agoIt's actually trivial, even with the best LLMs on the market: Try to rapidly change the conversation to a wildly different subject Humans will resist this, or say some final "closing comments" Even the absolute best LLMs will happily go wherever they are led, without commenting remotely on topic shifts Try it out Edit: This isn't even a terribly contrived example by the way. It is an example of how some people with ADHD navigate normal conversations sometimes
- shawabawa3 1y ago
- darkwater 1y ago> As far as goalpost-moving goes, it's wild to me that nobody is talking about the turing test these days. Well, in this case humans has to be trained as well but now there are humans pretty good at detecting LLM slobs as well. (I'm half-joking and half-serious)
- sundarurfriend 1y ago> As far as goalpost-moving goes, it's wild to me that nobody is talking about the turing test these days. UCSD: Large Language Models Pass the Turing Test https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43555248 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43555248 From just a month ago.
- s17n 1y agoExactly - maybe the most significant long-term goal in computer science history has been achieved and it's barely discussed.
- Macha 1y agoObviously when the Turing Test was designed, the thought was that anything that could pass it would so obviously be clearly human-like that passing it would be a clear signal. LLMs really made it clear that it's not so clear cut. And so the relevance of the test fell.
- zahlman 1y agoLook at contemporary accounts of what people thought a conversation with a Turing-test-passing machine would look like. It's clear they had something very different in mind. Realizing problems with previous hypotheses about what might make a good test, is not the same thing as choosing a standard and then revising it when it's met.
- s17n 1y agoI think any time a 50+ year old problem is solved, it should be considered a Big Deal, regardless of how the solution changes our understanding of the original problem.
- zahlman 1y agoIt is, in my mind, very interesting to see such success in generating readable, human-like prose. And I feel like we've learned a lot from the exercise - about human cognition, but also about e.g. how con artists can be as effective as they are.