5 ms·
Oh ok. I thought we were talking about the article (or at least claims that are just as bold): "Deep learning works, and we will solve the remaining problems."
by zero-sharp 2y ago
Oh ok. I thought we were talking about the article (or at least claims that are just as bold):
"Deep learning works, and we will solve the remaining problems."
"It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!)"
- tim333 2y agoIt was more in reply to "people in the AI community have"... Which some of them have but the Moravec type stuff has been quite accurate. Technically a few thousand days covers quite a range. 20 thousand is 55 years. On the Kurzweil graph, extrapolating hardware progress from 1900 through 2000, superintelligence seems to be roughly 2035, depending on how you define things. https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Kurzweils-8-71-chart-of-exponential-growth-of-computing_fig1_333518196 https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Kurzweils-8-71-chart-of-...