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I asked it about the number fatalities in the tornadoes in the US in December 2021 and it gave me a correct answer. > In December 2021, a particularly devastat

by davej 3y ago

I asked it about the number fatalities in the tornadoes in the US in December 2021 and it gave me a correct answer. > In December 2021, a particularly devastating outbreak of tornadoes occurred in the central United States, especially impacting Kentucky. As of my last update in January 2022, the death toll from this outbreak was over 80 people, with the majority of those deaths occurring in Kentucky. https://chat.openai.com/share/2315803e-96d5-4980-b31c-5b9377f9bfe0 https://chat.openai.com/share/2315803e-96d5-4980-b31c-5b9377...

thatwasunusual 3y ago
I think it depends on world region. When I asked the same "when is your cutoff-date", I get "September 2021" as a reply. They probably choose to test the US market first.
- davej 3y ago
  Original poster here. I’m in Ireland.
refulgentis 3y ago
Source?
- eesmith 3y ago
  NOAA numbers at https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/STATIJ21.txt https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/STATIJ21.txt which I've filtered to the relevant outbreak: # DATE TIME-CST COUNTIES STATE DEATHS A B C D WATCH EF LOCATION -- ---- -------- --------- ----- ------ ------- ----- -- -------- 08 DEC 10 1905 CRAIGHEAD AR 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01P MISSISSIPPI AR 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01P PEMISCOT MO 2 2 - - - WT552 4 01H 01V LAKE TN 3 3 - - - WT552 4 03P OBION TN 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01V 09 DEC 10 1935 ST CHARLES MO 1 1 - - - WT553 3 01H 10 DEC 10 2030 MADISON IL 6 6 - - - WT553 3 06P 11 DEC 10 2050 GRAVES KY 24 24 - - - WT552 4 09M 09P 03H 03U HOPKINS KY 15 15 - - - WT552 4 12H 02U 01M MUHLENBERG KY 11 11 - - - WT554 4 07H 03M 01P CALDWELL KY 4 4 - - - WT552 4 02H 02M MARSHALL KY 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01H FULTON KY 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01M LYON KY 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01H 12 DEC 11 0110 WARREN KY 16 16 - - - WT554 3 13P 03U 13 DEC 11 0320 TAYLOR KY 1 1 - - - WT561 3 01M Total: 89 See the link for column definitions.
giarc 3y ago
If it has the data to know that the answer is greater than 80, why not be more exact?
- pixl97 3y ago
  Because it was trained on news sources that say "Over 80 fatalities in tornado outbreak"? I can't say I'm sure, you'd have to know the training data involved, but it is quite common for mass casualty events to have "more than" or "at least" in their subjects along with multiple articles where the count increases over time. Remember and LLM is not wikipedia. If it has confidence of a more exact answer it will most likely give you that, but it's not guaranteed.

by davej 3y ago

thatwasunusual 3y ago

I think it depends on world region. When I asked the same "when is your cutoff-date", I get "September 2021" as a reply. They probably choose to test the US market first.

davej 3y ago
Original poster here. I’m in Ireland.

refulgentis 3y ago

Source?

eesmith 3y ago
NOAA numbers at https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/STATIJ21.txt https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/torn/STATIJ21.txt which I've filtered to the relevant outbreak: # DATE TIME-CST COUNTIES STATE DEATHS A B C D WATCH EF LOCATION -- ---- -------- --------- ----- ------ ------- ----- -- -------- 08 DEC 10 1905 CRAIGHEAD AR 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01P MISSISSIPPI AR 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01P PEMISCOT MO 2 2 - - - WT552 4 01H 01V LAKE TN 3 3 - - - WT552 4 03P OBION TN 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01V 09 DEC 10 1935 ST CHARLES MO 1 1 - - - WT553 3 01H 10 DEC 10 2030 MADISON IL 6 6 - - - WT553 3 06P 11 DEC 10 2050 GRAVES KY 24 24 - - - WT552 4 09M 09P 03H 03U HOPKINS KY 15 15 - - - WT552 4 12H 02U 01M MUHLENBERG KY 11 11 - - - WT554 4 07H 03M 01P CALDWELL KY 4 4 - - - WT552 4 02H 02M MARSHALL KY 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01H FULTON KY 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01M LYON KY 1 1 - - - WT552 4 01H 12 DEC 11 0110 WARREN KY 16 16 - - - WT554 3 13P 03U 13 DEC 11 0320 TAYLOR KY 1 1 - - - WT561 3 01M Total: 89 See the link for column definitions.

giarc 3y ago

If it has the data to know that the answer is greater than 80, why not be more exact?

pixl97 3y ago
Because it was trained on news sources that say "Over 80 fatalities in tornado outbreak"? I can't say I'm sure, you'd have to know the training data involved, but it is quite common for mass casualty events to have "more than" or "at least" in their subjects along with multiple articles where the count increases over time. Remember and LLM is not wikipedia. If it has confidence of a more exact answer it will most likely give you that, but it's not guaranteed.