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Yes. In fact we'd be surprised how much of our modern world is just attempts to guess the future, like the ancients, but instead of reading goat entrails or jud
by kneebonian 3y ago
Yes. In fact we'd be surprised how much of our modern world is just attempts to guess the future, like the ancients, but instead of reading goat entrails or judging the alignment of Venus and Ursa Minor we instead worship the god of "statistics" and "the science". I don't want it to seem as if I am anti-science, not at all, but "the science" is the cargo cult that Feyman warned us of.
And lest you think I am off some examples:
The diet and nutrition studies constantly getting pushed are the new fertility rituals, and the last one didn't work because it didn't please the diet gods, but atkins, or paleo, or weight watchers, or whatever will really work this time.
Econimics is worshiping the god of the harvest to ensure a bountiful crop, and when their predictions fail to come to pass, it's because the goat entrails were read wrong, or the math was off, never because the whole thing is useless.
Psychology is self evident if one examines the replication crises.
The point is we aren't really that much superior to the ancients in many ways. Sure we've figured out some of the fundamental laws of nature and are able to use them better, but that's mostly been the work of a few geniuses over the past 400 years and much less because we as humanity are far superior.