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No that isn't what I said, and yes it would be just as ridiculous as attributing the same value to preventing a 90 year old nursing home patient from dying of a
by VagueMag 3y ago
No that isn't what I said, and yes it would be just as ridiculous as attributing the same value to preventing a 90 year old nursing home patient from dying of an endemic respiratory virus as we do to preventing deaths in plane crashes.
- pfdietz 3y agoThat's going to alter the number by less than an order of magnitude. The benefit still is massively larger than the cost.
- VagueMag 3y agoCan you link me to a study which does a reasonable job of attempting to come up with a "Covid deaths prevented by vaccines number" while taking into account the effects of increased seroprevalence, decreased virulence of the virus itself, and the "no more dry tinder" effect?
- pfdietz 3y agoThe 20M figure was from an estimate in Lancet Infectious Diseases. It was for the first year, not the entire pandemic. https://archive.ph/R5K3r https://archive.ph/R5K3r