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Are the people who were saved by COVID vaccines never going to die from any other cause? I believe the $9M figure is actually just a reference to what the FAA c
by VagueMag 3y ago
Are the people who were saved by COVID vaccines never going to die from any other cause? I believe the $9M figure is actually just a reference to what the FAA considers a reasonable threshold for imposing a new expense on aircraft manufacturers and airlines in order to make flying safer?
- pfdietz 3y agoSo, saving a life has no value unless the person was already otherwise immortal? Ridiculous.
- VagueMag 3y agoNo that isn't what I said, and yes it would be just as ridiculous as attributing the same value to preventing a 90 year old nursing home patient from dying of an endemic respiratory virus as we do to preventing deaths in plane crashes.
- pfdietz 3y agoThat's going to alter the number by less than an order of magnitude. The benefit still is massively larger than the cost.
- VagueMag 3y agoCan you link me to a study which does a reasonable job of attempting to come up with a "Covid deaths prevented by vaccines number" while taking into account the effects of increased seroprevalence, decreased virulence of the virus itself, and the "no more dry tinder" effect?
- pfdietz 3y agoThe 20M figure was from an estimate in Lancet Infectious Diseases. It was for the first year, not the entire pandemic. https://archive.ph/R5K3r https://archive.ph/R5K3r
- hammock 3y agoTypically the way it is done is by calculating how many years of healthy life you saved
- bee_rider 3y agoWhich would, of course, bring the “money saved by vaccines” number down a bit. On the other hand, if we were able to factor in the benefit of milder cases and less long COVID/other side effects, I guess the number would go up a bit. I suspect it is just too complicated for us to work out here.