About 40% of those who are politically engaged, which is pretty consistent with his popular vote share of 45-47%, to his opponents' 48-51%. It'll come down to

About 40% of those who are politically engaged, which is pretty consistent with his popular vote share of 45-47%, to his opponents' 48-51%. It'll come down to the campaigns and the electoral college. He is not sure to be defeated but he will continue to be an underdog unless he broadens his message.