People confidently offer explanations — that the state of the art clearly is light years from AGI even indirectly, or that it’s clearly intelligent. None of you

People confidently offer explanations — that the state of the art clearly is light years from AGI even indirectly, or that it’s clearly intelligent. None of you know anything. You shouldn’t be allowed to offer your stupid opinion unless you can explain how the blob works and also demonstrate understanding of the algorithmic underpinning of human intelligence. The uncomfortable truth, the one that is buried by people confidently moving the goal posts when they really haven’t got a fucking clue about AI, is that we are dealing with the unknown, with high stakes, in a way we never have before. The only reasonable response is to at least hedge. But no, all is well, the goal posts are way the fuck over there now, go back to sleep, move along, nothing to see here. Don’t even think about pulling the emergency brake on this speeding bullet of a train. Either we hit a plateau where AI is just really advanced search for several decades or we confront the most fucked situation in the history of mankind. In 2018 I tried to tell people. Now on the radio whenever people talk about gtp they always say “wow I’m really excited but a little scared,” people are starting to wake up.